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The latest Bet Better model pick for Malik Monk is Under 22.5 on Pts + Asts.
On the Pts + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 81%, versus the book's implied 52%, for a model edge of +29.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
NBA

Malik Monk

Sacramento Kings

+29.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Under 22.5 -106 (1.94)
+29.7% Edge
Sacramento Kings @ Orlando Magic
Kia Center, Orlando, FL · Indoor
Thu 26 Mar, 11:00PM
DAY-TO-DAY
Monk's (personal) role for 2026-27 is undetermined after Sacramento landed Darius Acuff in Tuesday's draft.
updated Jun 25, 6:32PM UTC · 25d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
81.2%
Implied Probability
51.5%
Model Edge
+29.7%
Predicted Value
16.9 Pts + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts81.2%—51.5%1.23+29.7%

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AI Analysis

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Malik Monk (Sacramento Kings) Under 22.5 Points + Assists (-106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Malik Monk steps onto the court against the Orlando Magic, the spotlight shines a little less bright on him than usual. While he's had some impressive moments this season, his recent performances tell a different story. Averaging just 15.4 points and 6 assists over his last five games, Monk's numbers take a hit when he's on the road, dropping to an alarming 8.4 points and 4.6 assists away from Sacramento.The Magic have posed a stiff challenge for Monk, with his last five outings against them yielding an average of just 14 points and 4.2 assists. Plus, with a hit rate of only 5 for 5 on the road recently, it's evident that Monk struggles to find his rhythm away from home. With the line set at 22.5 for points plus assists, taking the under seems like a savvy play, especially given his current trajectory.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
2.2avg · last 10
L51.2Szn2.1Home2.4Away1.9Best9
1+82%
2+60%
3+40%
4+18%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2.2 · hi 5 · lo 0
4452112300

Malik Monk is averaging 2.2 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.1, best 9). He clears 2+ in 60% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
4.1avg · last 10
L53.4Szn5.6Home5.2Away5.9Best12
2+91%
4+72%
6+52%
8+29%
10+6%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 4.1 · hi 8 · lo 1
7852273331

Malik Monk is averaging 4.1 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.6, best 12). He clears 6+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
15.4avg · last 10
L59.0Szn17.2Home18.3Away16.3Best45
7+94%
12+83%
17+54%
22+26%
27+9%
Game log vs O 16.5avg 15.4 · hi 34 · lo 2
2822341695131782

Malik Monk is averaging 15.4 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 17.2, best 45). He clears 17+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
19.5avg · last 10
L512.4Szn22.8Home23.4Away22.2Best51
13+88%
18+71%
23+49%
28+29%
33+15%
Game log vs O 22.5avg 19.5 · hi 39 · lo 3
3530391811121620113

Malik Monk is averaging 19.5 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 22.8, best 51). He clears 23+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
18.7avg · last 10
L512.6Szn21.0Home21.3Away20.7Best47
11+94%
16+77%
21+51%
26+31%
31+14%
Game log vs O 20.5avg 18.7 · hi 35 · lo 2
3128351911121618152

Malik Monk is averaging 18.7 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 21.0, best 47). He clears 21+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
22.8avg · last 10
L516.0Szn26.5Home26.4Away26.6Best53
17+88%
22+65%
27+51%
32+32%
37+18%
Game log vs O 26.5avg 22.8 · hi 40 · lo 3
3836402113191921183

Malik Monk is averaging 22.8 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 26.5, best 53). He clears 27+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
3.3avg · last 10
L53.6Szn3.8Home3.0Away4.4Best10
2+78%
4+49%
6+25%
8+9%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 3.3 · hi 7 · lo 0
3613273170

Malik Monk is averaging 3.3 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.8, best 10). He clears 4+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
7.4avg · last 10
L57.0Szn9.3Home8.2Away10.3Best17
3+95%
6+74%
9+57%
12+37%
15+12%
Game log vs O 8.5avg 7.4 · hi 14 · lo 1
10146541464101

Malik Monk is averaging 7.4 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 9.3, best 17). He clears 9+ in 57% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Mar 26 Sacramento Kings @ Orlando Magic Pts + Asts 22.5 Under -106 ✓ HIT
26 Mar 26 Sacramento Kings @ Orlando Magic 3-Pointers 2.5 Under -132 ✗ MISS
26 Mar 26 Sacramento Kings @ Orlando Magic Rebounds 2.5 Under +104 ✓ HIT
26 Mar 26 Sacramento Kings @ Orlando Magic Assists — — — Pending
26 Mar 26 Sacramento Kings @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
26 Mar 26 Sacramento Kings @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Malik Monk (Sacramento Kings) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Malik Monk is Under 22.5 on Pts + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.7% on this pick. Their next game is Sacramento Kings vs Orlando Magic on Thursday 26 March at Kia Center, Orlando. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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