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The latest Bet Better model pick for Malik Monk is Under 5.5 on Assists.
On the Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 52%, for a model edge of +37.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 8:50AM UTC
NBA

Malik Monk

Sacramento Kings

+37.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Assists Under 5.5 -106 (1.94) · $100→$194
+37.0% Edge
Sacramento Kings @ Orlando Magic
Kia Center, Orlando, FL · Indoor
Thu 26 Mar, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
88.6%
Implied Probability
51.5%
Model Edge
+37.0%
Predicted Value
3.4 Assists

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Assists88.6%51.5%1.13+37.0%

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AI Analysis

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Malik Monk (Sacramento Kings) Under 5.5 Assists (-106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In Thursday's matchup between the Sacramento Kings and the Orlando Magic, targeting Malik Monk for under 5.5 assists seems like a savvy play. While Monk has shown flashes of brilliance, his recent away performances tell a different story. Over the last five games, he's averaging just 4.6 assists on the road, and his history against the Magic isn't promising either, with an average of only 3.5 assists in their previous encounters away from home. Dig deeper, and you'll see that Monk's overall hit rate is impressive at 15 of 18, but when away, he's hit this under in 17 of his last 20 games. The numbers suggest a trend that favors the under, especially considering his expected stat value is just 3.37. With the pressure of being in Orlando and the defensive schemes that often stifle playmakers, it's hard to envision Monk eclipsing that 5.5 mark tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Malik Monk — 2024-25 season averages

Over 65 games in the 2024-25 season, Malik Monk averaged 17.2 points, 3.8 rebounds and 5.6 assists in 31.6 minutes per game, shooting 43.9% from the field and 32.5% from three-point range.

17.2
PPG
3.8
RPG
5.6
APG
0.9
SPG
0.6
BPG
31.6
MPG
43.9%
FG%
32.5%
3P%

Malik Monk — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Malik Monk has played 22.6 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

22.6
MPG (L5)
9.0
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Malik Monk — points hit rate

Malik Monk has scored over 11.5 points in 37% of 313 career games.

o11.537%
o12.534%
o15.525%
o20.510%

Malik Monk — home vs away scoring

At home Malik Monk averages 18.3 points per game; on the road, 16.3. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

18.3
PPG at home
16.3
PPG on the road

Malik Monk — scoring by opponent

Malik Monk scores most against the SAC, averaging 17.0 points per game in that matchup.

17.0
SAC
16.6
DEN
16.5
MEM
16.2
MIN
15.8
ATL
15.8
SA

Malik Monk — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Malik Monk has averaged 15.4 points, 3.3 rebounds and 4.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
7 Apr@ DET6201
6 Apr@ CLE20873
4 Apr@ CHA231713
2 Apr@ WSH351333
31 Mar@ IND29577
29 Mar@ ORL23922
27 Marvs POR171632
20 Marvs CHI343415
19 Marvs CLE392268
17 Marvs MEM362837
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Malik Monk (Sacramento Kings) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Malik Monk is Under 5.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +37.0% on this pick. Their next game is Sacramento Kings vs Orlando Magic on Thursday 26 March at Kia Center, Orlando. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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