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Model picks & player props
Philadelphia 76ers
VS
New Orleans Pelicans

Philadelphia 76ers vs New Orleans Pelicans Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:22AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Indoor
Sun 22 Feb 2026, 12:00AM
4
Game Picks
1
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: New Orleans Pelicans -6.5 (Point Spread)
For Philadelphia 76ers vs New Orleans Pelicans (NBA), model win probability 81.1%, fair odds 1.23, book price -125, model edge +25.6%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sun 22 Feb 2026, 12:00AM at Smoothie King Center.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
New Orleans Pelicans
-6.5
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
New Orleans PelicansPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New Orleans PelicansMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia 76ersMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Johni Broome FDay-to-day
  • Labaron Philon Jr. GDay-to-day

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Micah Peavy GDay-to-day
  • Karlo Matkovic FDay-to-day
  • Zion Williamson FDay-to-day
  • Dejounte Murray GDay-to-day
  • Trey Murphy III FDay-to-day
  • Yves Missi CDay-to-day
  • Bryce McGowens GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 2:57AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Philadelphia 76ers vs New Orleans Pelicans: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Trey Murphy III New Orleans Pelicans Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsPhiladelphia 76ers @ New Orleans PelicansNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans and Philadelphia 76ers combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadNew Orleans Pelicans spreadNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans (season record) meet Philadelphia 76ers; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineNew Orleans Pelicans to winNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans (season record) host or visit Philadelphia 76ers; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)New Orleans Pelicans totalNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Philadelphia 76ers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Philadelphia 76ers totalNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing New Orleans Pelicans; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Philadelphia 76ers @ New Orleans Pelicans — model preview

<p>Winning bets for New Orleans Pelicans vs Philadelphia 76ers? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Tyrese Maxey. Explore NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, New Orleans Pelicans vs Philadelphia 76ers stats and odds.</p>

Tyrese Maxey (Philadelphia 76ers) Over 2.5 Threes Made (-145)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistical rationale for betting on Tyrese Maxey for Over 2.5 three-point field goals made in the New Orleans Pelicans vs Philadelphia 76ers game is grounded in his recent performance data. Maxey's average of 3.4 three-point field goals made in his last five away games is notably above the 2.5 threshold. This indicates a strong pattern of him exceeding the bet's outcome point in recent away games. Moreover, his away hit rate over the last six games is 5/6, suggesting that he consistently performs well in away games. While his average three-point field goals made against the Pelicans is slightly lower, it's worth noting that his overall average is still above the required 2.5. Therefore, based on Maxey's recent away performance, he's likely to make over 2.5 three-point field goals in the upcoming game against the Pelicans.

Tyrese Maxey (Philadelphia 76ers) Over 2.5 Threes Made (-161)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for Tyrese Maxey to make over 2.5 three-pointers in the game against New Orleans Pelicans is supported by his strong recent performance in away games. His average in the last five away games stands at 3.4 three-pointers made, exceeding the bet's threshold of 2.5. This strong performance is further emphasized by his recent hit rate in away games, where he's been successful in 5 out of the last 6. While his average three-pointers made against the Pelicans is slightly lower, at 2, it's important to note that the expected statistical value for this bet is 3.05, further supporting the potential for Maxey to exceed the 2.5 target. Therefore, considering these figures, betting on Maxey to make over 2.5 three-pointers seems statistically justified.

Zion Williamson (New Orleans Pelicans) Over 32.5 Points + Rebounds (-135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Zion Williamson's performance, particularly in home games, indicates a promising prospect for this bet. Analyzing his last 5 home games, he has averaged 22 points and 8 rebounds, totaling 30 which is slightly under the projected 32.5. However, considering his specific performance against the Philadelphia 76ers, the numbers are even more encouraging. He has averaged 34.5 points when playing at home against this opponent, hitting the over when combined with his average home rebounds against the 76ers (6.5). The expected stat value of 34.67 further reinforces this, suggesting that Zion's point and rebound tally is likely to exceed the outcome point. Finally, Zion's overall hit rate in the last three games stands at 2 out of 3, indicating a recent streak of strong performances.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
2
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
22 Feb 26 Moneyline New Orleans Pelicans ✓ HIT
22 Feb 26 Team Total Points Over 103.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Philadelphia 76ers vs New Orleans Pelicans in the NBA. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Sunday 22 February 2026 at Smoothie King Center. The model has generated 4 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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