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Model picks & player props
New Orleans Pelicans
VS
Los Angeles Lakers

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:23AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Indoor
Wed 4 Mar 2026, 3:30AM
9
Game Picks
6
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Under 127.5 (Team Total Points)
For New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers (NBA), model win probability 97.8%, fair odds 1.02, book price -556, model edge +13.1%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Wed 4 Mar 2026, 3:30AM at Crypto.com Arena.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total Points
Under
127.5
+ 8 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles LakersMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Micah Peavy GDay-to-day
  • Karlo Matkovic FDay-to-day
  • Zion Williamson FDay-to-day
  • Dejounte Murray GDay-to-day
  • Trey Murphy III FDay-to-day
  • Yves Missi CDay-to-day
  • Bryce McGowens GDay-to-day

Los Angeles Lakers

  • Ziaire Williams FDay-to-day
  • Luka Doncic GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 2:57AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Trey Murphy III New Orleans Pelicans Pts + Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Dejounte Murray New Orleans Pelicans Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
LeBron James Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Saddiq Bey Atlanta Hawks Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Luka Doncic Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsNew Orleans Pelicans @ Los Angeles LakersNo line posted

Los Angeles Lakers and New Orleans Pelicans combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadLos Angeles Lakers spreadNo line posted

Los Angeles Lakers (season record) meet New Orleans Pelicans; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineLos Angeles Lakers to winNo line posted

Los Angeles Lakers (season record) host or visit New Orleans Pelicans; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Los Angeles Lakers totalNo line posted

Los Angeles Lakers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing New Orleans Pelicans; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)New Orleans Pelicans totalNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Los Angeles Lakers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

New Orleans Pelicans @ Los Angeles Lakers — model preview

<p>Winning bets for Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Trey Murphy III. Explore NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans stats and odds.</p>

Trey Murphy III (New Orleans Pelicans) Under 32.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When Trey Murphy III steps onto the court in LA, there's a lot riding on his performance. But let's take a closer look at what history tells us. Our man Murphy has been averaging 17 points, 4 rebounds, and 2 assists in recent games - a solid performance, sure, but it still lands him well under the 32.5 mark set by Draftkings. His away games haven't fared much better, giving us a combined total of 26.4, still shy of the target. Particularly telling is Murphy's track record against the Lakers, with his points, rebounds, and assists barely scraping past 16.6 when playing in LA. Now, I'm no fortune teller, but the stats are clearly leaning towards an under bet. Murphy's a great player, no doubt, but even the greatest have their limits. So, it's not personal - it's just good math.

Dejounte Murray (New Orleans Pelicans) Over 21.5 Points + Assists (-130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

You're not going to want to sit this one out, folks. We've got our eyes on Dejounte Murray when the New Orleans Pelicans face the Los Angeles Lakers this Wednesday. Why? Well, Murray's been heating up the court lately, with an average of 21 points and over seven assists in his last five on-the-road skirmishes. He's been showing some real consistency too, hitting over 21.5 points plus assists in every single one of his recent six away games. Even when up against the Lakers, he's held his own, averaging over 22.5 points plus assists in their recent clashes. Sure, the Lakers have got home advantage, but Murray isn't one to be easily rattled. The stats are singing Murray's praises, and we're listening. So here's the bet: Dejounte Murray to go over 21.5 points plus assists. Take it to the bank.

LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 36.5 Points + Assists (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Just as the sun sets in the west, the numbers guide us to a compelling opportunity in the Lakers vs. Pelicans game this Wednesday. The spotlight is on LeBron James, who's been the heart of the Lakers' offense, but the King's recent figures are painting an intriguing image. LeBron's been averaging 25.4 points per game, but when he's running the show at home, that number dips to 18.6. Even though his distribution skills are on point with an average 5.6 assists, the math tells us that LeBron's combined points and assists are likely to stay south of 36.5. This pattern rings true against the Pelicans too, with LeBron's at-home average points and assists versus New Orleans sitting at just 33.6. If history's any teacher, LeBron's under 36.5 for points and assists seems like a savvy bet.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
3
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
04 Mar 26 Moneyline Los Angeles Lakers ✓ HIT
04 Mar 26 Team Total Points Over 114.5 ✗ MISS
04 Mar 26 Team Total Points Under 127.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers in the NBA. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Wednesday 4 March 2026 at Crypto.com Arena. The model has generated 9 game picks and 6 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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