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Domantas Sabonis

Sacramento Kings

Value call

Domantas Sabonis (Sacramento Kings) has one live pick today: under 10.5 rebounds that pays $280 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
11.1 rebounds
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.0% · before adjusting for past results 47.1% · the book's price implies 35.7% · gap +15.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Portland Trail Blazers @ Sacramento Kings
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA · Indoor
Fri 13 Nov, 10:00 PM ET
Domantas Sabonis
under 10.5 rebounds
Rebounds Under 10.5 +180 (2.80) · $100→$280
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$28.00 Odds+180
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Domantas Sabonis is Under 10.5 on Rebounds.
On Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 36%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:05PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nba pts + rebs unders: +$4,002 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds47.1%51.0%35.7%1.96+11.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers: Domantas Sabonis Under 10.5 Rebounds (+180)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds for Domantas Sabonis to grab under 10.5 rebounds are looking pretty good at +180. The Sacramento Kings and Portland Trail Blazers have been pretty similar in letting teams grab rebounds, with both allowing about 44.2 boards a game. This means the match could be tight, giving Sabonis a chance to fall just short of that number. However, there's a chance he might struggle since both teams also allow a lot of three-point shots. If the game turns into a high-scoring affair with lots of long-range shooting, there could be fewer missed shots for him to rebound. This matchup is close, so while it's definitely worth a shot, nothing's guaranteed.

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Pick History & Track Record

Domantas Sabonis — 2024-25 season averages

Over 71 games in the 2024-25 season, Domantas Sabonis averaged 19.0 points, 13.9 rebounds and 6.0 assists in 34.7 minutes per game, shooting 58.7% from the field and 41.1% from three-point range.

19.0
PPG
13.9
RPG
6.0
APG
0.7
SPG
0.4
BPG
34.7
MPG
58.7%
FG%
41.1%
3P%

Domantas Sabonis — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Domantas Sabonis has played 34.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

34.8
MPG (L5)
16.4
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Domantas Sabonis — points hit rate

Domantas Sabonis has scored over 12.5 points in 57% of 448 career games.

o11.561%
o12.557%
o15.541%
o20.520%

Domantas Sabonis — home vs away scoring

At home Domantas Sabonis averages 18.6 points per game; on the road, 19.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

18.6
PPG at home
19.4
PPG on the road

Domantas Sabonis — scoring by opponent

Domantas Sabonis scores most against the SA, averaging 21.9 points per game in that matchup.

21.9
SA
20.7
WSH
20.7
PHX
20.5
DET
20.5
MIN
19.8
NY

Domantas Sabonis — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Domantas Sabonis has averaged 19.0 points, 13.3 rebounds and 5.3 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
16 Aprvs DAL3711135
13 Aprvs PHX2420126
11 Aprvs LAC3919165
9 Aprvs DEN3913122
7 Apr@ DET35191510
6 Apr@ CLE402797
4 Apr@ CHA2724117
2 Apr@ WSH3518167
31 Mar@ IND4025160
29 Mar@ ORL2914134
Quick answers:How many assists does Domantas Sabonis average?How many points does Domantas Sabonis average?How many rebounds does Domantas Sabonis average?How many three-pointers does Domantas Sabonis average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Oct 26 Sacramento Kings @ Los Angeles Clippers 3-Pointers 0.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
13 Nov 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ Sacramento Kings Rebounds — — — Pending
21 Oct 26 Sacramento Kings @ Los Angeles Clippers Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Domantas Sabonis (Sacramento Kings) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Domantas Sabonis is Under 10.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.4% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Trail Blazers vs Sacramento Kings on Friday 13 November at Golden 1 Center, Sacramento. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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