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The latest Bet Better model pick for Karlo Matkovic is Under 15.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 61%, versus the book's implied 57%, for a model edge of +3.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:04PM UTC
NBA

Karlo Matkovic

New Orleans Pelicans

+3.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 15.5 -135 (1.74)
+3.1% Edge
New Orleans Pelicans @ Utah Jazz
Delta Center, Salt Lake City, UT · Indoor
Sun 1 Mar, 2:30AM
DAY-TO-DAY
The Pelicans announced Thursday that they exercised a third-year option on Matkovic (back).
updated Jun 25, 9:48PM UTC · 25d old
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Model Probability
60.6%
Implied Probability
57.5%
Model Edge
+3.1%
Predicted Value
13.6 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs60.6%—57.5%1.65+3.1%

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AI Analysis

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Karlo Matkovic (New Orleans Pelicans) Under 15.5 Points + Rebounds (-135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Pelicans head into Jazz territory this Sunday, eyes are on Karlo Matkovic and his points plus rebounds. The bookmakers have set the bar at 15.5, but the numbers seem to tell a different story. While he's been averaging a respectable 10.6 points on away games, his performance against the Jazz has been less than stellar. Averaging just 6 points in past matchups in Salt Lake City, Matkovic hasn't exactly been lighting up the scoreboard. And while he's pulled down a decent 4.8 rebounds on the road, that number drops to 5 against the Jazz. With a combined expected stat value of only 13.6, the under seems a tempting bet. Matkovic may surprise us, but based on past performances, going under 15.5 looks like a smart wager.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
PointsSeason marketNo line posted

Karlo Matkovic has active Points prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Points + ReboundsSeason marketNo line posted

Karlo Matkovic has active Points + Rebounds prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Utah Jazz Pts + Rebs 15.5 Under -135 ✓ HIT
01 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Utah Jazz Points 10.5 Under -154 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Karlo Matkovic (New Orleans Pelicans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Karlo Matkovic is Under 15.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.1% on this pick. Their next game is New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz on Sunday 1 March at Delta Center, Salt Lake City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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