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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Sat 21 Nov 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Arkansas Razorbacks
3-6 · 1-3 awayLLWLL
VS
Texas Longhorns
7-2 · 5-1 at homeLLWWW
Our model's predicted score: Texas Longhorns 34.1 – Arkansas Razorbacks 17.5

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas Longhorns Prediction & Picks · Sat 21 Nov

Model updated Nov 15, 6:02AM UTC

Our model graded 4 markets for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas Longhorns and backs Arkansas Razorbacks 21 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $191.

4
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Arkansas Razorbacks
with a 21-point head start
Arkansas Razorbacks 21 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$19.09Best price-110
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win48.8%
The price says49.7%

The model graded 4 markets for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas Longhorns (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 21 Nov 2026, 3:30 PM ET.

Saturday 21 November 2026: Arkansas Razorbacks at Texas Longhorns

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Arkansas Razorbacks 21 Lean49% chance -110
Spread Members only Lean49% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot10% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean49% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Texas Longhorns are the model's favourite to beat Arkansas Razorbacks, with a 82% chance to win. Predicted score: Texas Longhorns 34.1 – Arkansas Razorbacks 17.5. Kick-off Sat 21 Nov, 3:30 PM ET. Best bet: Arkansas Razorbacks 21 at -110.
How they've been scoring this season
Arkansas RazorbacksTexas Longhorns
Won-lost3-67-2
Points scored per game20.031.1
Points allowed per game27.417.4
On the road / at home1-3 away5-1 at home
Last 5 gamesLLWLLLLWWW
Their games average 48.0 total points this season.
From the 9 Arkansas Razorbacks and 9 Texas Longhorns games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Longhorns about 9 in 10 to win. Now: about 9 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Razorbacksabout 1 in 11$11.48 (+1048)$14.00 (+1300)
Longhornsabout 9 in 10$1.10 (-1000)$1.06 (-1667)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.80 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 11 books we check.

All NCAAF odds this week →

What matters in this game

Rest, form and schedule
  • Texas Longhorns won 4 straight games up to Saturday 14 November.
  • On Saturday 14 November, Arkansas Razorbacks beat South Carolina Gamecocks 34-6 at home. On Saturday 14 November, Texas Longhorns beat LSU Tigers 22-21 on the road.
  • Home teams won 224 of the 363 college football games in our 2026 study, about 6 in 10. See the study

From this season's final scores.

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Arkansas Razorbacks
+21
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Arkansas RazorbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arkansas RazorbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arkansas RazorbacksMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market sharpened toward Arkansas Razorbacks on this game.

Line movement

▲ moved toward Arkansas Razorbacks
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Arkansas Razorbacks
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Arkansas Razorbacks

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Texas Longhorns

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas Longhorns: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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The preview

Written 16 Nov

Texas Longhorns vs Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction & Picks

On Saturday 21 November 2026, Texas Longhorns play Arkansas Razorbacks in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Arkansas Razorbacks +21 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Arkansas Razorbacks +21 on the Line (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 21 November 2026, Texas Longhorns host Arkansas Razorbacks in college football. The bet we are looking at is Arkansas Razorbacks 21 Point Spread. On this line Arkansas Razorbacks start with 21 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Over 48.5 Total Points (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 21 November 2026, Texas Longhorns host Arkansas Razorbacks in college football. The bet we are looking at is Over 48.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 48.5 points between them. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Arkansas Razorbacks to Win (+1000)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 21 November 2026, Texas Longhorns host Arkansas Razorbacks in college football. The bet we are looking at is Arkansas Razorbacks Moneyline. This one only needs Arkansas Razorbacks to win the game. It was priced at +920 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $102 if it lands. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +1000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $110 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Texas Longhorns v Arkansas Razorbacks. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · Read the full preview

Arkansas Razorbacks @ Texas Longhorns — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Arkansas Razorbacks at Texas Longhorns — 4 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 3 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Arkansas Razorbacks @ Texas Longhorns — where the money went

Since betting opened on Arkansas Razorbacks at Texas Longhorns, the market has moved toward Arkansas Razorbacks across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Arkansas Razorbacks▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Texas Longhorns▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 48.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 48.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Arkansas Razorbacks @ Texas Longhorns — model preview

Texas Longhorns v Arkansas Razorbacks, 21 November 2026. Top of the list: Arkansas Razorbacks +21 on the Line. Our model likes 3 bets in this game.

On Saturday 21 November 2026, Texas Longhorns play Arkansas Razorbacks in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Arkansas Razorbacks +21 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Arkansas Razorbacks +21 on the Line (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 21 November 2026, Texas Longhorns host Arkansas Razorbacks in college football. The bet we are looking at is Arkansas Razorbacks 21 Point Spread. On this line Arkansas Razorbacks start with 21 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at DraftKings. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas Longhorns in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Razorbacks vs Longhorns, or as Longhorns vs Razorbacks. The next scheduled game is Saturday 21 November 2026. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas Longhorns: game facts

When it starts and how they have been going

Arkansas Razorbacks play Texas Longhorns on Saturday 21 November 2026. Kick-off is 3:30 PM ET. It is a college football game.

Arkansas Razorbacks: last 5 results

  1. 14 Nov 2026Wonvs South Carolina Gamecocks 34-6
  2. 7 Nov 2026Lostat Auburn Tigers 23-26
  3. 31 Oct 2026Lostvs Missouri Tigers 10-34
  4. 17 Oct 2026Wonat Vanderbilt Commodores 31-21
  5. 10 Oct 2026Lostvs Tennessee Volunteers 17-24

Texas Longhorns: last 5 results

  1. 14 Nov 2026Wonat LSU Tigers 22-21
  2. 7 Nov 2026Wonat Missouri Tigers 34-20
  3. 31 Oct 2026Wonvs Mississippi State Bulldogs 31-3
  4. 24 Oct 2026Wonvs Ole Miss Rebels 34-27
  5. 17 Oct 2026Lostvs Florida Gators 24-27

Quick answers

When is Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas Longhorns? Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas Longhorns is on Saturday 21 November 2026. Kick-off is 3:30 PM ET.

How have Arkansas Razorbacks and Texas Longhorns done lately? Arkansas Razorbacks won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold. Texas Longhorns won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas Longhorns: the season so far

From every final score this season

Arkansas Razorbacks are 4-6 this season and Texas Longhorns are 8-2. Texas Longhorns are 5-1 at home. Arkansas Razorbacks are 1-3 on the road. Texas Longhorns score 30.2 points a game and let in 17.8. Arkansas Razorbacks score 21.4 and let in 25.3. Texas Longhorns games have averaged 48 points in total; Arkansas Razorbacks games have averaged 47. Texas Longhorns have won their last 4.

SeasonArkansas RazorbacksTexas Longhorns
Won-lost4-68-2
At home3-35-1
On the road1-33-1
Points scored a game21.430.2
Points let in a game25.317.8
Points scored at home23.833.7
Points scored away17.825.0
Against winning sides2-57-2
Current runWon 1Won 4
Biggest win34-6 vs South Carolina Gamecocks59-7 vs Texas State Bobcats
Heaviest loss43-10 at Utah Utes27-24 vs Florida Gators

Teams they have both played

  • Against Missouri Tigers: Texas Longhorns won 34-20 on the road; Arkansas Razorbacks lost 10-34 at home.
  • Against Tennessee Volunteers: Texas Longhorns won 20-17 on the road; Arkansas Razorbacks lost 17-24 at home.

Rest before this game

Texas Longhorns last played on Saturday 14 November, 7 days before this game. Arkansas Razorbacks last played on Saturday 14 November, 7 days before.

Quick answers

How are Texas Longhorns doing this season? Texas Longhorns are 8-2 this season: 5-1 at home and 3-1 on the road.

How many points do Arkansas Razorbacks score a game? Arkansas Razorbacks score 21.4 points a game this season and let in 25.3, across 10 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

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