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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bennedict Mathurin is Under 2.5 on Assists.
On the Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 76%, versus the book's implied 61%, for a model edge of +15.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 7:48AM UTC
NBA

Bennedict Mathurin

Indiana Pacers

+15.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Assists Under 2.5 -154 (1.65)
+15.3% Edge
San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Clippers
Intuit Dome, Inglewood, CA · Indoor
Tue 17 Mar, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
75.9%
Implied Probability
60.6%
Model Edge
+15.3%
Predicted Value
1.2 Assists

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Assists75.9%60.6%1.32+15.3%

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AI Analysis

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Bennedict Mathurin (Indiana Pacers) Under 2.5 Assists (-154)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When considering the player prop for Bennedict Mathurin to go under 2.5 assists, the numbers tell a compelling story. With an average of just 1.2 assists over his last five games, it's clear that he hasn't been a primary facilitator lately. The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs adds another layer; while they might not be the toughest defensive team, Mathurin still only averages 1.6 assists against them. Looking deeper, he's only hit this mark in 1 of his last 20 games, showcasing a remarkable consistency in staying below this threshold. In fact, at home, he's been even less effective, averaging 1.4 assists in his last five. The Clippers may have other offensive options they lean on, further limiting Mathurin's playmaking opportunities. With the implied probability hovering around 60.6%, it's a solid bet to bank on.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
0.8avg · last 10
L50.4Szn1.7Home1.8Away1.7Best8
2+51%
4+14%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 0.8 · hi 3 · lo 0
3110111000

Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 0.8 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.7, best 8). He clears 2+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
12.6avg · last 10
L511.8Szn17.2Home17.9Away16.5Best40
7+93%
12+74%
17+54%
22+30%
27+11%
Game log vs O 16.5avg 12.6 · hi 23 · lo 0
2314159612202304

Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 12.6 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 17.2, best 40). He clears 17+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
14.6avg · last 10
L513.2Szn20.5Home21.5Away19.4Best46
10+88%
15+72%
20+53%
25+30%
30+17%
Game log vs O 19.5avg 14.6 · hi 28 · lo 1
28181512716212414

Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 14.6 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 20.5, best 46). He clears 20+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
15.4avg · last 10
L513.6Szn22.2Home23.3Away21.1Best48
12+88%
17+69%
22+49%
27+28%
32+16%
Game log vs O 21.5avg 15.4 · hi 31 · lo 1
31191612817222414

Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 15.4 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 22.2, best 48). He clears 22+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
2.8avg · last 10
L51.8Szn5.0Home5.4Away4.6Best16
1+98%
3+77%
5+51%
7+26%
9+15%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 2.8 · hi 8 · lo 0
8513252110

Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 2.8 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.0, best 16). He clears 5+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
3.6avg · last 10
L52.2Szn6.7Home7.1Away6.3Best19
1+99%
4+77%
7+46%
10+25%
13+7%
Game log vs O 6.5avg 3.6 · hi 11 · lo 0
11623363110

Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 3.6 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.7, best 19). He clears 7+ in 46% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Bennedict Mathurin (Indiana Pacers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bennedict Mathurin is Under 2.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.3% on this pick. Their next game is San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Clippers on Tuesday 17 March at Intuit Dome, Inglewood. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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