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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bennedict Mathurin is Under 2.5 on Assists.
On the Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 76%, versus the book's implied 65%, for a model edge of +10.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 6:56AM UTC
NBA

Bennedict Mathurin

Indiana Pacers

+10.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Assists Under 2.5 -189 (1.53) · $100→$153
+10.6% Edge
San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Clippers
Intuit Dome, Inglewood, CA · Indoor
Tue 17 Mar, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
75.9%
Implied Probability
65.4%
Model Edge
+10.6%
Predicted Value
1.2 Assists

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Assists75.9%65.4%1.32+10.6%

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AI Analysis

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Bennedict Mathurin (Indiana Pacers) Under 2.5 Assists (-189)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Clippers prepare to face the Spurs, Bennedict Mathurin's assist numbers suggest a strategic play on the Under 2.5. In his last five games, he's averaged just 1.2 assists overall and 1.4 at home, indicating he's not heavily involved in playmaking when the spotlight's on. Facing off against the Spurs, he's averaged only 1.6 assists, which is well below our threshold. Historically, he's shown a remarkable hit rate, going under this line in 19 of his last 20 games, and an impressive 10 of 11 at home. With the Spurs allowing an average of 2 assists to opponents in their last five, we're not expecting Mathurin to break through that barrier. Given these trends and the implied probability of 65.4%, it's hard to see him reaching more than 2 assists in this matchup. Stick with the Under; it feels like a solid bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
0.8avg · last 10
L50.4Szn1.7Home1.8Away1.7Best8
2+51%
4+14%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 0.8 · hi 3 · lo 0
3110111000

Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 0.8 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.7, best 8). He clears 2+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
12.6avg · last 10
L511.8Szn17.2Home17.9Away16.5Best40
7+93%
12+74%
17+54%
22+30%
27+11%
Game log vs O 16.5avg 12.6 · hi 23 · lo 0
2314159612202304

Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 12.6 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 17.2, best 40). He clears 17+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
14.6avg · last 10
L513.2Szn20.5Home21.5Away19.4Best46
10+88%
15+72%
20+53%
25+30%
30+17%
Game log vs O 19.5avg 14.6 · hi 28 · lo 1
28181512716212414

Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 14.6 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 20.5, best 46). He clears 20+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
15.4avg · last 10
L513.6Szn22.2Home23.3Away21.1Best48
12+88%
17+69%
22+49%
27+28%
32+16%
Game log vs O 21.5avg 15.4 · hi 31 · lo 1
31191612817222414

Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 15.4 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 22.2, best 48). He clears 22+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
2.8avg · last 10
L51.8Szn5.0Home5.4Away4.6Best16
1+98%
3+77%
5+51%
7+26%
9+15%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 2.8 · hi 8 · lo 0
8513252110

Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 2.8 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.0, best 16). He clears 5+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
3.6avg · last 10
L52.2Szn6.7Home7.1Away6.3Best19
1+99%
4+77%
7+46%
10+25%
13+7%
Game log vs O 6.5avg 3.6 · hi 11 · lo 0
11623363110

Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 3.6 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.7, best 19). He clears 7+ in 46% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Bennedict Mathurin (Indiana Pacers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bennedict Mathurin is Under 2.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.6% on this pick. Their next game is San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Clippers on Tuesday 17 March at Intuit Dome, Inglewood. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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