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Model picks & player props
Houston Rockets
VS
Washington Wizards

Houston Rockets vs Washington Wizards Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 2:09PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
Capital One Arena, Washington
Indoor
Tue 3 Mar 2026, 12:00AM
5
Game Picks
7
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Over 109.5 (Team Total Points)
For Houston Rockets vs Washington Wizards (NBA), model win probability 98.1%, fair odds 1.02, book price -556, model edge +13.4%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Tue 3 Mar 2026, 12:00AM at Capital One Arena.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total Points
Over
109.5
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington WizardsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston RocketsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Houston Rockets

  • Fred VanVleet GDay-to-day
  • Kevin Durant FDay-to-day
  • Steven Adams CDay-to-day

Washington Wizards

  • Jamir Watkins GDay-to-day
  • Will Riley GDay-to-day
  • Tre Johnson GDay-to-day
  • AJ Dybantsa FDay-to-day
  • Alex Sarr CDay-to-day
  • Anthony Davis FDay-to-day
  • Trae Young GDay-to-day
  • Cam Whitmore FDay-to-day
  • Tristan Vukcevic FDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 1:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Houston Rockets vs Washington Wizards: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Tari Eason Houston Rockets Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Bilal Coulibaly Washington Wizards Pts + Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Tari Eason Houston Rockets Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Bilal Coulibaly Washington Wizards Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Alperen Sengun Houston Rockets Triple-Double 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsHouston Rockets @ Washington WizardsNo line posted

Washington Wizards and Houston Rockets combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadWashington Wizards spreadNo line posted

Washington Wizards (season record) meet Houston Rockets; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineWashington Wizards to winNo line posted

Washington Wizards (season record) host or visit Houston Rockets; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Washington Wizards totalNo line posted

Washington Wizards averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Houston Rockets; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Houston Rockets totalNo line posted

Houston Rockets averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Washington Wizards; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Houston Rockets @ Washington Wizards — model preview

<p>Latest NBA betting preview: Washington Wizards vs Houston Rockets. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Bilal Coulibaly. Keywords: NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Washington Wizards vs Houston Rockets stats and odds.</p>

Washington Wizards vs Houston Rockets : Houston Rockets -15.5 (-110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Houston Rockets have been performing admirably on the road, with a 4-1 record in their last five games. Their average score of 116 is just slightly higher than the Wizards' 115.2, but the true revelation is in the defense. The Rockets' opponents have only managed an average of 114 points, compared to the Wizards' opponents who have been putting up an average of 122.8. This indicates a more solid Rockets' defense, an essential factor in dominating the point spread. Additionally, the Rockets have shown strong performance against the Wizards in recent matchups, maintaining a 1-1 record. Considering these factors, the bet on 'Houston Rockets -15.5' for the Point Spread market seems to hold significant merit. It's a bet on a team that's been playing strong basketball, particularly on the road, and showing a defensive prowess that could keep the Wizards' score in check.

Bilal Coulibaly (Washington Wizards) Over 1.5 Assists (-200)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In the upcoming Wizards vs. Rockets showdown, all eyes should undoubtedly be on Bilal Coulibaly. Coulibaly's flair for finding open teammates has been nothing short of remarkable, with an average of 1.6 assists in the last five games overall. But it's his performances at home that are truly noteworthy. In his recent home games, Coulibaly's assist number has skyrocketed to an impressive 3.4 on average. The man has a knack for stepping up his game on home turf, and this matchup could be a golden opportunity for him. His track record against the Rockets also bodes well, dishing out 1.7 assists on average. Furthermore, in the last 16 games, Coulibaly has surpassed the 1.5 assists mark 12 times, and at home, he's done so in 5 of the last 6 outings. Given these stats, it's hard not to back Coulibaly for over 1.5 assists

Washington Wizards vs Houston Rockets : Houston Rockets win (-1250)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Houston Rockets take on the Washington Wizards, betting on Houston seems like a no-brainer. The Rockets have been firing on all cylinders recently, with an impressive 4-1 record in their last 5 games, compared to the Wizards' 1-4. Moreover, the Rockets have consistently outscored the Wizards, averaging 116 points per game in their last five outings compared to the Wizards' 115.2. The Rockets have also shown they can put up numbers on the road, averaging 109.2 points in away games. Head-to-head, the teams are evenly matched, each having one win in the last two encounters. But given the Rockets' superior recent form and scoring prowess, they look like a solid bet to come away with the victory in this matchup.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
3
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
03 Mar 26 Team Total Points Over 109.5 ✓ HIT
03 Mar 26 Point Spread Houston Rockets -15.5 ✗ MISS
03 Mar 26 Moneyline Washington Wizards ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Houston Rockets vs Washington Wizards in the NBA. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Tuesday 3 March 2026 at Capital One Arena. The model has generated 5 game picks and 7 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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