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NBA

Amen Thompson

Houston Rockets

+12.8% Edge
🔥 7 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 10.5 -400 (1.25)
+12.8% Edge
Houston Rockets @ Golden State Warriors
Chase Center, San Francisco
Mon 6 Apr, 2:00AM
Model Probability
92.8%
Implied Probability
80.0%
Model Edge
+12.8%
Predicted Value
6.9 Rebounds

AI Analysis

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Amen Thompson (Houston Rockets) Under 10.5 Rebounds (-400)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we look ahead to the matchup between the Golden State Warriors and the Houston Rockets, Amen Thompson's rebounding numbers give us a solid case for betting the under on 10.5 rebounds. While Thompson has been a key contributor on the boards, averaging 7.2 rebounds in his last five games, his away performance drops to 6.6, clearly showing a trend that doesn't favor him on the road. Facing a Warriors team that boasts a strong frontcourt and is adept at limiting second-chance opportunities, Thompson's likelihood of hitting that 10.5 mark seems slim. Not to mention, he's averaged just 8.6 rebounds against Golden State when playing away. With an impressive hit rate of 7 for 7 recently, it's hard to ignore the data pointing to an under performance in this context. This matchup could easily see Thompson falling short of the mark, making the under a smart play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (16 picks) 62.5% (10/16)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Golden State Warriors Rebounds 10.5 Under -400 ✓ HIT
06 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Golden State Warriors Rebounds 8.5 Under -147 ✓ HIT
04 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets Rebounds 9.5 Under -313 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
19 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets Points — — — Pending
12 Mar 26 Houston Rockets @ Denver Nuggets Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Amen Thompson (Houston Rockets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 16 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 62.5% (10/16). Amen Thompson is currently on a 7-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Amen Thompson is Under 10.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.8% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors on Monday 6 April at Chase Center, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.