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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Amen Thompson is Under 7.5 on Rebounds.
On Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 63 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 63%, implied 50%, edge +13.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 6:19PM UTC
NBA

Amen Thompson

Houston Rockets

+13.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds Under 7.5 +101 (2.01) · $100→$201
+13.2% Edge
Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
63 in 100
Predicted
6.7 Rebounds
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 62.9% · the book's price implies 49.8% · gap +13.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds62.9%49.8%1.59+13.2%

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AI Analysis

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Amen Thompson (Houston Rockets) Under 7.5 Rebounds (+101)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Rockets face off against the Lakers, all eyes will be on Amen Thompson, but I'm leaning toward the Under on his rebounding total of 7.5. While Thompson has averaged 7.8 boards in his last five away games, the Lakers' size and defensive prowess can stifle his efforts. He's averaged just 7 rebounds against them in away matchups, and with the Lakers' frontcourt anchored by formidable defenders, the path to high rebounding numbers becomes treacherous.Thompson's recent hit rate paints a clearer picture; he's only managed to clear 7.5 boards in half of his last eight away games. With an expected stat value of 6.7, it's reasonable to anticipate he'll fall short once again. Given the stakes of this matchup and the defensive schemes at play, taking the Under seems like the smart move here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Amen Thompson — 2024-25 season averages

Over 77 games in the 2024-25 season, Amen Thompson averaged 14.1 points, 8.0 rebounds and 3.8 assists in 32.0 minutes per game, shooting 55.0% from the field and 27.4% from three-point range.

14.1
PPG
8.0
RPG
3.8
APG
1.4
SPG
1.2
BPG
32.0
MPG
55.0%
FG%
27.4%
3P%

Amen Thompson — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Amen Thompson has played 35.2 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

35.2
MPG (L5)
18.2
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Amen Thompson — home vs away scoring

At home Amen Thompson averages 13.2 points per game; on the road, 14.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

13.2
PPG at home
14.9
PPG on the road

Amen Thompson — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Amen Thompson has averaged 15.5 points, 6.8 rebounds and 4.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
4 Mayvs GS372493
2 May@ GS361472
30 Aprvs GS352563
28 Apr@ GS311792
26 Apr@ GS371174
23 Aprvs GS231113
20 Aprvs GS33896
13 Aprvs DEN261566
6 Apr@ GS291466
4 Aprvs OKC381686
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Amen Thompson (Houston Rockets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Amen Thompson is Under 7.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.2% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday 19 April at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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