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Alperen Sengun

Houston Rockets

Value call

Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) has one live pick today: under 8.5 rebounds that pays $214 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
7.9 rebounds
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 59.6% · the book's price implies 46.7% · gap +12.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA · Indoor
Sat 18 Apr, 8:30 PM ET
Alperen Sengun
under 8.5 rebounds
Rebounds Under 8.5 +114 (2.14) · $100→$214
Value call
HIGHWins about 60 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$21.40 Odds+114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Alperen Sengun is Under 8.5 on Rebounds.
On Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 60%, the price says 47%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 6:52AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds59.6%—46.7%1.68+12.9%

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AI Analysis

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Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) Under 8.5 Rebounds (+114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Rockets head into Los Angeles to face the Lakers, Alperen Sengun's rebounding numbers tell an intriguing story. While he's been a solid contributor on the glass, his recent performances suggest a dip in production that's hard to ignore. Averaging 8.4 rebounds over his last five outings, Sengun's numbers are even less reassuring when factoring in the pressure of an away game, where he's posted 9.4 rebounds on average. However, against this Lakers squad, he's historically managed just 10.8 boards in away matchups, a figure that's not quite enough to convince me he'll clear the 8.5 threshold tonight. With a hit rate of only 60% over his last ten and a dwindling overall output, the odds of him falling under 8.5 rebounds look favorable. It's a smart play to lean into the under as he faces a Lakers team that can be tough on interior players.

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Pick History & Track Record

Alperen Sengun — 2024-25 season averages

Over 85 games in the 2024-25 season, Alperen Sengun averaged 18.8 points, 10.2 rebounds and 4.8 assists in 31.3 minutes per game, shooting 49.2% from the field and 24.5% from three-point range.

18.8
PPG
10.2
RPG
4.8
APG
1.1
SPG
0.8
BPG
31.3
MPG
49.2%
FG%
24.5%
3P%

Alperen Sengun — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Alperen Sengun has played 36.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

36.6
MPG (L5)
20.6
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Alperen Sengun — home vs away scoring

At home Alperen Sengun averages 18.2 points per game; on the road, 19.5. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

18.2
PPG at home
19.5
PPG on the road

Alperen Sengun — scoring by opponent

Alperen Sengun scores most against the MIN, averaging 19.5 points per game in that matchup.

19.5
MIN
18.0
LAL
17.2
DAL
17.2
SA
16.7
DEN
16.3
POR

Alperen Sengun — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Alperen Sengun has averaged 21.0 points, 10.4 rebounds and 4.9 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
4 Mayvs GS4021145
2 May@ GS3721146
30 Aprvs GS311599
28 Apr@ GS4231105
26 Apr@ GS3315114
23 Aprvs GS3717167
20 Aprvs GS362691
13 Aprvs DEN241454
6 Apr@ GS3319144
4 Aprvs OKC343124
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Rebounds 8.5 Under +114 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Houston Rockets Rebounds 11.5 Under -435 ✗ MISS
09 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Houston Rockets Rebounds 10.5 Under -294 ✗ MISS
07 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Phoenix Suns Rebounds — — — Pending
07 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Phoenix Suns Rebounds — — — Pending
03 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets Rebounds — — — Pending

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About This Player

Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alperen Sengun is Under 8.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.9% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday 18 April at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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