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NBA

Alperen Sengun

Houston Rockets

Value call

Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) has one live pick today: over 17.5 points that pays $153 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
45 in 100
Predicted
22.1 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 45.1% · before adjusting for past results 86.9% · the book's price implies 65.4% · gap -20.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Houston Rockets @ Atlanta Hawks
State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA · Indoor
Sat 24 Oct, 8:30 PM ET
Alperen Sengun
over 17.5 points
Points Over 17.5 -189 (1.53) · $100→$153
Value call
LEANWins about 45 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.30 Odds-189
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Alperen Sengun is Over 17.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 45 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 45%, the price says 65%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 9:35AM UTC
DAY-TO-DAY
Sengun (back) has been ruled out for Friday's game against the Mavericks, Mike Curtis of The Dallas Morning News reports.
updated Oct 31, 5:00AM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points86.9%45.1%65.4%2.22+21.5%

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AI Analysis

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Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets: Alperen Sengun Over 17.5 Points (-189)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Alperen Sengun has been playing well lately, showing he can contribute a lot on offense. He averages over 6 assists when playing away, which shows he's involved in the game and helps create scoring chances. In a matchup against the Atlanta Hawks, who allow a fair number of points, Sengun has a solid shot to get over 17.5 points. The Hawks give up a lot of rebounds and three-point attempts, which could lead to more scoring chances for Sengun. The biggest risk here is that both teams are closely matched, so the game's pace could affect his scoring opportunities. Still, with how Sengun has been performing, betting on him to score over 17.5 points seems like a good bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Alperen Sengun — 2024-25 season averages

Over 85 games in the 2024-25 season, Alperen Sengun averaged 18.8 points, 10.2 rebounds and 4.8 assists in 31.3 minutes per game, shooting 49.2% from the field and 24.5% from three-point range.

18.8
PPG
10.2
RPG
4.8
APG
1.1
SPG
0.8
BPG
31.3
MPG
49.2%
FG%
24.5%
3P%

Alperen Sengun — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Alperen Sengun has played 36.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

36.6
MPG (L5)
20.6
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Alperen Sengun — home vs away scoring

At home Alperen Sengun averages 18.2 points per game; on the road, 19.5. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

18.2
PPG at home
19.5
PPG on the road

Alperen Sengun — scoring by opponent

Alperen Sengun scores most against the MIN, averaging 19.5 points per game in that matchup.

19.5
MIN
18.0
LAL
17.2
DAL
17.2
SA
16.7
DEN
16.3
POR

Alperen Sengun — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Alperen Sengun has averaged 21.0 points, 10.4 rebounds and 4.9 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
4 Mayvs GS4021145
2 May@ GS3721146
30 Aprvs GS311599
28 Apr@ GS4231105
26 Apr@ GS3315114
23 Aprvs GS3717167
20 Aprvs GS362691
13 Aprvs DEN241454
6 Apr@ GS3319144
4 Aprvs OKC343124
Quick answers:How many assists does Alperen Sengun average?How many points does Alperen Sengun average?How many rebounds does Alperen Sengun average?How many three-pointers does Alperen Sengun average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Oct 26 Houston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs Points 14.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Rebounds 8.5 Under +114 ✓ HIT
03 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets Rebounds 10.5 Under -278 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Houston Rockets @ Atlanta Hawks Points — — — Pending
21 Oct 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Houston Rockets 3-Pointers — — — Pending
09 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Houston Rockets Rebounds — — — Pending

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About This Player

Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alperen Sengun is Over 17.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.5% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks on Saturday 24 October at State Farm Arena, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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