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NBA

Alperen Sengun

Houston Rockets

+12.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 8.5 +114 (2.14)
+12.9% Edge
Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Sun 19 Apr, 12:30AM
Model Probability
59.6%
Implied Probability
46.7%
Model Edge
+12.9%
Predicted Value
7.9 Rebounds

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) Under 8.5 Rebounds (+114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Houston Rockets roll into Los Angeles, the matchup between the Rockets and Lakers presents a compelling angle on Alperen Sengun's rebounding. While Sengun has been solid on the boards, averaging 9.4 rebounds away from home in his last five games, the Lakers offer a unique challenge. They've been tightening up their interior presence, particularly against bigs like Sengun, who managed just 7.91 expected rebounds against them.Moreover, Sengun's last ten outings show a hit rate of just 60%, and his numbers dip when facing the Lakers specifically, where he's averaged only 9.4 against them historically. With the Rockets likely to spend considerable time on the perimeter, Sengun might not find as many opportunities to clean the glass. Given these factors, betting the under on 8.5 rebounds feels like a savvy play in this dynamic matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 42.9% (3/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Houston Rockets Rebounds 11.5 Under -435 ✗ MISS
10 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Houston Rockets Rebounds 10.5 Under -294 ✗ MISS
08 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Phoenix Suns Rebounds 8.5 Under -103 ✗ MISS
08 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Phoenix Suns Rebounds Pending
04 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets Rebounds Pending
26 Mar 26 Houston Rockets @ Minnesota Timberwolves Rebounds Pending

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About This Player

Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 42.9% (3/7). The latest model pick for Alperen Sengun is Under 8.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.9% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday 19 April at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.