Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Alperen Sengun is Under 8.5 on Rebounds.
On the Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 60%, versus the book's implied 47%, for a model edge of +12.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:05PM UTC
NBA

Alperen Sengun

Houston Rockets

+12.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds Under 8.5 +114 (2.14)
+12.9% Edge
Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
59.6%
Implied Probability
46.7%
Model Edge
+12.9%
Predicted Value
7.9 Rebounds

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds59.6%—46.7%1.68+12.9%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) Under 8.5 Rebounds (+114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Houston Rockets roll into Los Angeles, the matchup between the Rockets and Lakers presents a compelling angle on Alperen Sengun's rebounding. While Sengun has been solid on the boards, averaging 9.4 rebounds away from home in his last five games, the Lakers offer a unique challenge. They've been tightening up their interior presence, particularly against bigs like Sengun, who managed just 7.91 expected rebounds against them.Moreover, Sengun's last ten outings show a hit rate of just 60%, and his numbers dip when facing the Lakers specifically, where he's averaged only 9.4 against them historically. With the Rockets likely to spend considerable time on the perimeter, Sengun might not find as many opportunities to clean the glass. Given these factors, betting the under on 8.5 rebounds feels like a savvy play in this dynamic matchup.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
4.9avg · last 10
L55.8Szn4.8Home4.5Away5.2Best14
1+96%
3+84%
5+53%
7+20%
9+9%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 4.9 · hi 9 · lo 1
4441745965

Alperen Sengun is averaging 4.9 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.8, best 14). He clears 5+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Blocks + Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
2.1avg · last 10
L52.2Szn1.9Home2.0Away1.8Best6
1+84%
2+52%
3+29%
4+16%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2.1 · hi 4 · lo 0
3113202432

Alperen Sengun is averaging 2.1 blocks + steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.9, best 6). He clears 2+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Blocks2024-25 · formNo line posted
0.4avg · last 10
L50.6Szn0.8Home0.9Away0.6Best5
1+52%
2+15%
3+6%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.4 · hi 2 · lo 0
0010000201

Alperen Sengun is averaging 0.4 blocks over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 0.8, best 5). He clears 1+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Double-Double2024-25 seasonNo line posted
59%DD rate
59%double-double rate · 2024-25
L1060%Home57%Away62%
Game log · double-double6 / 10 DD

Alperen Sengun posted a double-double in 59% of 2024-25 games (6 of his last 10).

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
21.0avg · last 10
L520.6Szn18.8Home18.2Away19.5Best45
9+94%
14+81%
19+47%
24+26%
29+9%
Game log vs O 18.5avg 21 · hi 31 · lo 14
31191426171531152121

Alperen Sengun is averaging 21.0 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 18.8, best 45). He clears 19+ in 47% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
25.9avg · last 10
L526.4Szn23.6Home22.8Away24.7Best48
14+93%
19+75%
24+53%
29+29%
34+8%
Game log vs O 23.5avg 25.9 · hi 36 · lo 18
35231827241936242726

Alperen Sengun is averaging 25.9 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 23.6, best 48). He clears 24+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
31.4avg · last 10
L532.2Szn29.1Home28.4Away29.9Best61
19+94%
24+79%
29+53%
34+33%
39+14%
Game log vs O 28.5avg 31.4 · hi 41 · lo 19
33331935332641243535

Alperen Sengun is averaging 31.4 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 29.1, best 61). He clears 29+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
36.3avg · last 10
L538.0Szn33.9Home32.9Away35.1Best64
24+92%
29+76%
34+51%
39+34%
44+14%
Game log vs O 33.5avg 36.3 · hi 46 · lo 23
37372336403046334140

Alperen Sengun is averaging 36.3 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 33.9, best 64). He clears 34+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
10.4avg · last 10
L511.6Szn10.2Home10.1Away10.4Best21
6+88%
8+81%
10+61%
12+34%
14+22%
Game log vs O 9.5avg 10.4 · hi 16 · lo 2
2145916111091414

Alperen Sengun is averaging 10.4 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 10.2, best 21). He clears 10+ in 61% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
15.3avg · last 10
L517.4Szn15.0Home14.7Away15.5Best33
9+94%
12+80%
15+55%
18+31%
21+13%
Game log vs O 14.5avg 15.3 · hi 23 · lo 6
618910231515182019

Alperen Sengun is averaging 15.3 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 15.0, best 33). He clears 15+ in 55% of 2024-25 games.

Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
1.7avg · last 10
L51.6Szn1.1Home1.1Away1.2Best5
1+60%
2+36%
3+13%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.7 · hi 3 · lo 0
3103202231

Alperen Sengun is averaging 1.7 steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.1, best 5). He clears 1+ in 60% of 2024-25 games.

Triple-Double2024-25 seasonNo line posted
4.7%triple-double rate · 2024-25

Alperen Sengun recorded a triple-double in 4.7% of 2024-25 games (8 in the last 295 on record).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Rebounds 8.5 Under +114 ✓ HIT
10 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Houston Rockets Rebounds 10.5 Under -294 ✗ MISS
10 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Houston Rockets Rebounds 11.5 Under -500 ✗ MISS
08 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Phoenix Suns Rebounds — — — Pending
08 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Phoenix Suns Rebounds — — — Pending
04 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets Rebounds — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alperen Sengun is Under 8.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.9% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday 19 April at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks