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Alperen Sengun

Houston Rockets

+12.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 10.5 -278 (1.36)
+12.5% Edge
Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets
Toyota Center, Houston
Sat 4 Apr, 12:00AM
Model Probability
86.0%
Implied Probability
73.5%
Model Edge
+12.5%
Predicted Value
7.9 Rebounds

AI Analysis

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Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) Under 10.5 Rebounds (-278)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Houston Rockets roll into this matchup against the Utah Jazz, all signs point to Alperen Sengun falling short of the 10.5 rebounds mark. While he's been a solid contributor, averaging 8.2 boards over his last five outings, his home performance has dipped slightly to 7.8. Against the Jazz, he's managed a respectable 9.2 at home, but the trend indicates he's been held under in four of his last five games.The Rockets' style of play and the Jazz's frontcourt depth may also limit Sengun's opportunities. With an expected stat value of 7.88, it appears the odds are stacked against him surpassing that 10.5 threshold. Given that he's hit the under in four of his last five and the implied probability stands at 73.5%, this bet is looking like a savvy choice for those looking to capitalize on the numbers.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (10 picks) 70.0% (7/10)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets Rebounds 10.5 Under -278 ✓ HIT
26 Mar 26 Houston Rockets @ Minnesota Timberwolves Rebounds 11.5 Under -400 ✓ HIT
26 Mar 26 Houston Rockets @ Minnesota Timberwolves Rebounds 10.5 Under -270 ✓ HIT
26 Mar 26 Houston Rockets @ Minnesota Timberwolves Rebounds Pending
24 Mar 26 Houston Rockets @ Chicago Bulls Rebounds Pending
22 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Houston Rockets Rebounds Pending

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About This Player

Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 10 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 70.0% (7/10). The latest model pick for Alperen Sengun is Under 10.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.5% on this pick. Their next game is Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets on Saturday 4 April at Toyota Center, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.