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Model picks & player props
New Orleans Pelicans
VS
Oklahoma City Thunder

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 11, 7:10AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
3
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Under 118.5 (Team Total)
The model graded 3 markets for New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $117 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 92.4%, fair odds 1.08, book price -588, model edge +6.9%.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total
Under
118.5
-588
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Oklahoma City ThunderMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Micah Peavy GDay-to-day
  • Bryce McGowens GDay-to-day

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Ajay Mitchell GDay-to-day
  • Otega Oweh GDay-to-day
  • Thomas Sorber CDay-to-day
  • Jalen Williams GDay-to-day
  • Nikola Topic GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 30, 3:59PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsNew Orleans Pelicans @ Oklahoma City ThunderNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder and New Orleans Pelicans combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadOklahoma City Thunder spreadNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder (season record) meet New Orleans Pelicans; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineOklahoma City Thunder to winNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder (season record) host or visit New Orleans Pelicans; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Oklahoma City Thunder totalNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder averaged their season scoring ahead of facing New Orleans Pelicans; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)New Orleans Pelicans totalNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Oklahoma City Thunder; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

New Orleans Pelicans @ Oklahoma City Thunder — what the model found

Our model graded 3 betting markets for New Orleans Pelicans at Oklahoma City Thunder — 3 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

3
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 2 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder — recent results

Oklahoma City Thunder have won 0 of their last 1 games; New Orleans Pelicans have won 0 of their last 0.

Oklahoma City Thunder — last 1
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L103–111SAHome

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerStatus
Ajay Mitchell GDAY-TO-DAY
Otega Oweh GDAY-TO-DAY
Thomas Sorber CDAY-TO-DAY
Jalen Williams GDAY-TO-DAY
Nikola Topic GDAY-TO-DAY
New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerStatus
Micah Peavy GDAY-TO-DAY
Bryce McGowens GDAY-TO-DAY

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New Orleans Pelicans @ Oklahoma City Thunder — model preview

Winning bets for Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans? We break down odds and insights. Featuring picks like NA props. Explore same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans : Oklahoma City Thunder win (-769)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Oklahoma City Thunder has a strong advantage on their home court, scoring an average of 119.6 points per game in their last five home games, compared to the New Orleans Pelicans' average of 115.8 points in their last five away games. Although the Thunder's recent record against the Pelicans is unfavorable (1-3), their superior scoring on home ground suggests they have the potential to turn the tables. Furthermore, their overall recent scoring average (117.8) is higher than the Pelicans' (116.8), indicating a consistent high-performance level. This data suggests that the Thunder are likely to capitalize on their home advantage and outscore the Pelicans, making a bet on the Thunder a promising choice.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Pelicans vs Thunder, or as Thunder vs Pelicans. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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