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Luis Robert Jr.

MLB

Luis Robert Jr. has one live pick today: over 1.5 runs scored that pays $1,200 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
11 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 10.8% · before adjusting for past results 7.1% · the book's price implies 8.3% · gap +2.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland · Outdoor
Sat 5 Sep, 7:05 PM ET
Luis Robert Jr.
over 1.5 runs scored
Batter - Runs Scored Over 1.5 +1100 (12.00) · $100→$1,200
LONG-SHOTWins about 11 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$120.00 Odds+1100
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Luis Robert Jr. is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 11 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 11%, the price says 8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:04PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 145 of 250 right · +$3,299 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored7.1%10.8%8.3%9.30-1.2%

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AI Analysis

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Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox: Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Batter - Runs Scored (+1100)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The odds for Luis Robert Jr. to score over 1.5 runs are pretty exciting at +1100. He's been doing well lately, and the wind is blowing out toward the outfield tonight, which is great for hitters. The Baltimore Orioles have won 6 of their last 10 games and hit left-handed pitchers pretty well, so Robert could have some good chances at the plate. However, the Boston Red Sox are also decent against lefties, hitting a bit better than the Orioles. This matchup could be tight, and although Robert has been averaging about 0.7 strikeouts per game recently, there's still a chance he might not get enough opportunities to cross home plate twice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)
Quick answers:How many home runs does Luis Robert Jr. hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -270 ✗ MISS
04 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Hits 0.5 Under +158 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Runs Scored 1.5 Over +1000 ✗ MISS
04 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Stolen Bases — — — Pending
04 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Doubles — — — Pending
04 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Luis Robert Jr. is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Luis Robert Jr. is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of -1.2% on this pick. Their next game is Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles on Saturday 5 September at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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