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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Colson Montgomery is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +13.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 29, 6:06AM UTC
MLB

Colson Montgomery

MLB

+13.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -161 (1.62)
+13.1% Edge
Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays
Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario · Indoor
Sat 18 Jul, 7:07PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
74.9%
Implied Probability
61.7%
Model Edge
+13.1%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases74.9%61.7%1.34+13.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Colson Montgomery (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-161)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Toronto Blue Jays host the Chicago White Sox, all eyes will be on Colson Montgomery, but betting on him to go over 1.5 total bases might be a stretch. Montgomery has shown flashes of brilliance, yet he’s been inconsistent against left-handed pitching, which could be an issue today with the Blue Jays sending a southpaw to the mound. Recent trends also tell a compelling story; Montgomery has averaged just under one total base per game over his last month. Facing a solid Toronto bullpen that has limited opponents to a mere .220 batting average lately adds another layer of difficulty. With the White Sox struggling to find their rhythm, particularly away from home, it’s likely that Montgomery will find it tough to connect against a well-prepared Blue Jays pitching staff. For those looking to wager, taking the under on 1.5 total bases feels like a prudent move in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Jul 26 Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -161 ✓ HIT
09 Jul 26 Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -164 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Colson Montgomery is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Colson Montgomery is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.1% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago White Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays on Saturday 18 July at Rogers Centre, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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