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MLB
Minute Maid Park, Houston
Indoor
Sun 19 Jul 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Baltimore Orioles
VS
Houston Astros

Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 24 markets for Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros and backs Over 5.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $377.

20
Game markets graded
4
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 5.5 total runs
Over 5.5 Total Runs
You bet$10 If it wins$37.70Best price+277
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win91.4%
The price says26.5%

The model graded 24 markets for Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $377 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 19 Jul 2026, 2:10 PM ET at Minute Maid Park.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 5.5 High91% chance +277
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only High62% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Members only High66% chance Members
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Members only High68% chance Members
Spread Members only Long-shot40% chance Members
Moneyline Members only High66% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Lean45% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean56% chance Members
Batter - Total Bases × 4 props Highup to 75% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Baltimore Orioles and Houston Astros last met on Sun 19 Jul 2026: Baltimore Orioles won 5-2. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
9.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 4 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 75,276+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Baltimore Orioles

  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Kyle Bradish SPOut
  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut
  • Jackson Holliday 2BOut
  • Cade Povich SPOut
  • Reed Trimble LFDay-to-day
  • Cameron Foster RPDay-to-day

Houston Astros

  • Carlos Correa SSOut
  • Brandon Walter SPOut
  • Joey Loperfido LFOut
Availability updated Nov 3, 2:56PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 10 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability10 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Gunnar Henderson Batter - Total Bases
Adley Rutschman BAL Batter - Total Bases
Isaac Paredes TBR Batter - Total Bases
Jose Altuve HOU Batter - Total Bases

+ 4 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineHouston AstrosNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF7.4L5 RA3.8Home L51-4vs Baltimore Orioles L53-2

Houston Astros moneyline form: last five 3-2, 7.4 runs/gm.

Run LineHouston Astros run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF7.4L5 RA3.8Home L51-4vs Baltimore Orioles L53-2

Houston Astros spread form: last five 3-2, 7.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Houston Astros vs Baltimore OriolesNo line posted

Houston Astros total runs form: last five 3-2, 7.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsHouston Astros team totalNo line posted
5.6runs we expect
L5 RF7.4L5 RA3.8Home L51-4vs Baltimore Orioles L53-2

Houston Astros team total runs form: last five 3-2, 7.4 runs/gm.

Baltimore Orioles @ Houston Astros — what the model found

Our model graded 24 betting markets for Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros — 20 on the game itself and 4 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
4
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 24 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 23 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros — recent results

Houston Astros have won 2 of their last 5 games; Baltimore Orioles have won 4 of their last 5.

Houston Astros — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–7CHWHome
L3–6CHWHome
W13–2ATHAway
W9–0ATHAway
L5–6ATHAway
Baltimore Orioles — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–6NYYAway
W10–2NYYAway
W4–2TORHome
W4–2TORHome
W4–3TORHome

Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Houston Astros are scoring 3.2 runs per game (3-2) while Baltimore Orioles are at 4.6 (5-0); Houston Astros pitchers are allowing 2.0 earned runs per game versus 1.2 for Baltimore Orioles.

3.2
Houston Astros runs/G
4.6
Baltimore Orioles runs/G
Last 5 gamesHouston AstrosBaltimore Orioles
Runs / game3.24.6
Hits / game5.24.0
Home runs / game0.81.0
Walks drawn / game4.41.4
Batter K / game2.24.4
Earned runs allowed / game2.01.2
Pitching K / game3.43.4
Walks allowed / game1.82.8
L5 record3-25-0

Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros — recent meetings

These two have met 8 times recently: Houston Astros won 3, Baltimore Orioles won 5.

DateHouston AstrosBaltimore OriolesWinner
Jul 1925Baltimore Orioles
Jul 1823Baltimore Orioles
Jul 1824Baltimore Orioles
Apr 30310Baltimore Orioles
Apr 30115Houston Astros
Apr 2835Baltimore Orioles
Mar 1076Houston Astros
Mar 442Houston Astros

Who’s out or in doubt

10 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Houston Astros
PlayerStatus
Carlos Correa SSOUT
Brandon Walter SPOUT
Joey Loperfido LFOUT
Baltimore Orioles
PlayerStatus
Ryan Helsley RPOUT
Kyle Bradish SPOUT
Jordan Westburg 3BOUT
Jackson Holliday 2BOUT
Cade Povich SPOUT
Reed Trimble LFDAY-TO-DAY
Cameron Foster RPDAY-TO-DAY

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Baltimore Orioles @ Houston Astros — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Isaac Paredes. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles stats and odds.

Isaac Paredes (TBR) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-189)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Astros prepare to host the Orioles, all eyes will be on Isaac Paredes, but betting on him to go over 1.5 total bases feels like a stretch. Paredes has been hitting well lately, but he faces Houston’s elite pitching staff, which thrives on limiting opponent scoring. The Astros boast a stingy team ERA, especially at home, making it tough for any batter to find their rhythm. Additionally, Paredes has struggled against right-handed pitching this season, and with Houston’s ace on the mound, it’s likely he will be challenged. The Astros' defense is well-versed in shutting down hitters, which adds to the difficulty. Given the numbers and trends, betting the under on Paredes’ total bases makes sense here. In a game where the Astros will look to stifle the Orioles, it’s hard to envision Paredes breaking through in a meaningful way.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Orioles vs Astros, or as Astros vs Orioles. The most recent game between them was Sunday 19 July 2026 at Minute Maid Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 4 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 19 Jul 2026Baltimore Orioles beat Houston Astros 5-2 on the road
  • 18 Jul 2026Baltimore Orioles beat Houston Astros 4-2 on the road
  • 17 Jul 2026Baltimore Orioles beat Houston Astros 3-2 on the road

Baltimore Orioles: last 5 results

  1. 25 Sep 2026Lostat New York Yankees 3-6
  2. 25 Sep 2026Wonat New York Yankees 10-2
  3. 23 Sep 2026Wonvs Toronto Blue Jays 4-2
  4. 23 Sep 2026Wonvs Toronto Blue Jays 4-2
  5. 21 Sep 2026Wonvs Toronto Blue Jays 4-3

Houston Astros: last 5 results

  1. 30 Sep 2026Lostvs Chicago White Sox 3-7
  2. 29 Sep 2026Lostvs Chicago White Sox 3-6
  3. 27 Sep 2026Wonat Athletics 9-0
  4. 26 Sep 2026Wonat Athletics 13-2
  5. 25 Sep 2026Lostat Athletics 5-6

Quick answers

Who won the last Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles game? Baltimore Orioles won their last meeting 5-2 on 19 July 2026.

How have Baltimore Orioles and Houston Astros done lately? Baltimore Orioles won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 results we hold. Houston Astros won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros: the season so far

From every final score this season

Baltimore Orioles are 79-82 this season and Houston Astros are 81-83. Houston Astros are 39-44 at home. Baltimore Orioles are 40-40 on the road. Houston Astros score 4.5 runs a game and let in 4.8. Baltimore Orioles score 4.5 and let in 4.6. Houston Astros games have averaged 9.3 runs in total; Baltimore Orioles games have averaged 9.0.

SeasonBaltimore OriolesHouston Astros
Won-lost79-8281-83
At home39-4239-44
On the road40-4042-39
Last 106-44-6
Runs scored a game4.54.5
Runs let in a game4.64.8
Runs scored at home4.24.2
Runs scored away4.74.8
Against winning sides29-4629-28
Current runLost 1Lost 2
Biggest win13-1 at St. Louis Cardinals13-2 at Athletics
Heaviest loss17-1 vs Boston Red Sox18-3 vs Los Angeles Angels

Teams they have both played

  • Against Chicago White Sox: Houston Astros lost 3-7 at home; Baltimore Orioles won 6-1 at home.
  • Against Athletics: Houston Astros won 9-0 on the road; Baltimore Orioles won 8-5 on the road.
  • Against Seattle Mariners: Houston Astros lost 5-6 on the road; Baltimore Orioles lost 0-3 on the road.

Quick answers

How are Houston Astros doing this season? Houston Astros are 81-83 this season: 39-44 at home and 42-39 on the road.

How many runs do Baltimore Orioles score a game? Baltimore Orioles score 4.5 runs a game this season and let in 4.6, across 161 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros head-to-head record

Final scores · 27 meetings on record
Houston Astros 14–13 across the last 27 meetings · these games average 10.0 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 19 Jul 2026, Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros: the Orioles won 5-2.

DateGameScoreWinner
19 Jul 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Houston Astros2–5Baltimore Orioles
18 Jul 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Houston Astros2–3Baltimore Orioles
17 Jul 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Houston Astros2–3Baltimore Orioles
30 Apr 2026Houston Astros @ Baltimore Orioles10–3Baltimore Orioles
28 Apr 2026Houston Astros @ Baltimore Orioles5–3Baltimore Orioles
10 Mar 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Houston Astros7–6Houston Astros
4 Mar 2026Houston Astros @ Baltimore Orioles2–4Houston Astros
24 Aug 2025Houston Astros @ Baltimore Orioles3–2Baltimore Orioles
23 Aug 2025Houston Astros @ Baltimore Orioles8–9Houston Astros
22 Aug 2025Houston Astros @ Baltimore Orioles7–10Houston Astros

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 27 meetings on file.

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