On Friday 14 August 2026, Hawthorn Hawks play Collingwood Magpies in the AFL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies: Under 23.5 team_totals_q1, priced at -114 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies: Under 23.5 team_totals_q1 (-114)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
When it comes to the Hawthorn Hawks hosting the Collingwood Magpies at the iconic MCG, the stage is set for a clash that promises defensive prowess. Recently, the Hawks have shown consistency in their offensive output, averaging around 95 points per game at home. However, facing off against the Magpies, who have been sturdy on the road, conceding just 88.4 points per game, poses a challenge. With the Hawks averaging 14 goals per game in their last five outings and the Magpies allowing an average of 84 points overall, the under 23.5 on the Team Totals Q1 market for the Hawks seems like a prudent play. Expect a tight, defensive battle early on, where both teams will be looking to gain an edge without giving an inch.
Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies: Collingwood Magpies 5.5 spreads_q3 (-120)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Alright footy punters, let's dissect this clash between the Hawthorn Hawks and the Collingwood Magpies at the hallowed MCG. In the last five games, Hawthorn has been dominant at home, averaging a hefty margin of 15.4 points. However, the Magpies have been no pushovers on the road, keeping their losses close with an average margin of just 7.8 points. When it comes to scoring, Hawthorn has been potent, racking up an impressive 95 points per game at home. But don't count out Collingwood, who have been solid defensively, conceding 88.4 points on average away from home. With the Magpies showing resilience and the Hawks' tendency to keep games tight, backing Collingwood at +5.5 in the third quarter spread seems like a savvy move. Expect a fierce battle with the Pies pushing the Hawks all the way to snag that valuable cover.
Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies: Collingwood Magpies 5.5 spreads_q4 (-120)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Alright, footy fanatics, let's dive into this juicy AFL matchup between the Hawthorn Hawks and the Collingwood Magpies at the iconic MCG. When it comes to recent form, the Hawks have been flying high, boasting an impressive average of 95 points for in their last five games. However, their defense has shown some cracks, conceding an average of 79.6 points against at home. On the flip side, the Magpies have been no slouches either, averaging 96.2 points for on the road. With a margin average of 7.8 in their last five away games, they've shown resilience in tight contests. Coupled with the Hawks' slight vulnerability in defense, backing the Magpies at +5.5 in the Spreads Q4 market seems like a smart play here. Expect a fierce battle with the Pies pushing hard to cover the spread and potentially snag a late-game victory.
That is how our model reads Hawthorn Hawks v Collingwood Magpies. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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