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AFL

Tim Membrey

Collingwood

+2.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -345 (1.29)
+2.9% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne
Thu 16 Apr, 9:30AM
Model Probability
80.4%
Implied Probability
77.5%
Model Edge
+2.9%
Predicted Value
1.2 Goals

AI Analysis

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Tim Membrey (Collingwood) Over 0.5 Goals (-345)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Tim Membrey snagging goals away from home, the numbers are speaking loud and clear. Over his last five away games, he's been averaging nearly a goal a game, with a sharp eye for the big sticks at 53.3% accuracy. He's not just a goal kicker; he's involved in the play too, with an average of 2.8 score involvements per game. Facing off against Carlton, a team he's historically found success against, averaging 2.2 goals in their last five meetings, Tim's track record suggests he's primed to split the middle at least once. With a solid hit rate in away games and riding a hot streak, backing Tim Membrey to kick Over 0.5 goals feels like a smart play for this clash at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 50.0% (2/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Apr 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -345 ✓ HIT
10 Apr 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -303 ✗ MISS
27 Mar 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -323 ✗ MISS
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Goals Pending

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About This Player

Tim Membrey (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (2/4). The latest model pick for Tim Membrey is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.9% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues on Thursday 16 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.