On Thursday 13 August 2026, Hawthorn Hawks play Collingwood Magpies in the AFL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies: Hawthorn Hawks -5.5 spreads_q2, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies: Hawthorn Hawks -5.5 spreads_q2 (-110)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Alright, footy fans, let's dive into this clash between the Hawthorn Hawks and the Collingwood Magpies at the iconic MCG. The Hawks, flying high on their home turf, have been a force to be reckoned with lately. In their last five home games, they've been averaging a solid 15.4 point margin, with an impressive 95 points scored on average. Their inside 50s have been relentless, averaging 62.8, showcasing their attacking prowess. On the flip side, the Magpies have been a bit more inconsistent on the road, with a narrower 7.8 point margin in their last five away games. They've been leaking points, conceding an average of 88.4, which could spell trouble against the Hawks' potent attack. With the Hawks boasting a stronger recent record and a more potent scoring ability, backing them to cover the -5.5 spread seems like a savvy play in this matchup.
Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies: Hawthorn Hawks -4.5 spreads_q3 (-122)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Alright footy fans, let's break down why backing the Hawthorn Hawks at -4.5 in the Spreads Q3 market against the Collingwood Magpies is a savvy move. Hawthorn has been a force to be reckoned with at the MCG lately, boasting an impressive average margin of 15.4 in their last five home games. Their offensive prowess is undeniable, averaging 95 points per game while keeping opponents to just 79.6 points on their turf. With an average of 62.8 inside 50s and 30.2 shots at goal per game, the Hawks know how to apply relentless pressure. On the flip side, Collingwood has struggled on the road, managing just a 7.8 average margin in their last five away games. Their defense has been leaky, conceding 88.4 points per game. With a lower average of inside 50s and shots at goal compared to Hawthorn, the Magpies might find it challenging to keep up with the Hawks' scoring power. Backing Hawthorn at -4.5 seems like a solid bet considering their recent form and scoring capabilities.
Hawthorn Hawks vs Collingwood Magpies: Hawthorn Hawks -4.5 spreads_q4 (-122)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
When it comes to Saturday's clash between the Hawthorn Hawks and the Collingwood Magpies at the iconic MCG, the Hawks seem to hold a slight edge in the Spreads Q4 market. Looking at their recent form, the Hawks have been dominant at home, averaging a solid 15.4-point margin in their last five games at the MCG. Their offensive prowess is evident, with an average of 95 points scored per game during this period. On the other hand, the Collingwood Magpies have struggled on the road, with a lower average margin of 7.8 points in their last five away games. Their defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 88.4 points per game away from home. With the Hawks boasting a stronger offense and better form at home, backing them to cover the -4.5 spread in the final quarter seems like a reasonable bet here.
That is how our model reads Hawthorn Hawks v Collingwood Magpies. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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