Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees Prediction and Same Game Parlay picks, July 31, 2026

As the Cubs host the Yankees on July 31, all eyes will be on Nico Hoerner, but a keen look at his recent performance suggests a conservative approach for his total bases. While he’s been a steady presence in Chicago’s lineup, facing a formidable Yankees pitching staff could spell trouble for him. The Yankees have shown resilience on the mound, and their starter's ability to limit hard contact could stifle Hoerner’s production. Moreover, Hoerner's recent stats reveal he's been trending downward against right-handed pitching, particularly in high-pressure games. With the Cubs’ lineup facing a tough test from a Yankees squad eager to maintain their playoff push, expect a low-scoring affair where Hoerner may struggle to find gaps. Betting the under on his total bases seems wise, as the odds favor a tough night for him at the plate against a potent New York staff.

Jasson Domínguez (NYY) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-164)

As the Cubs welcome the Yankees to Wrigley Field, all eyes will be on Jasson Domínguez, but betting on him to exceed 1.5 total bases might be a stretch. The young slugger has shown flashes of brilliance, yet he’s faced challenges against right-handed pitchers lately, hitting only.217 over his last ten games. The Cubs’ pitching staff has been formidable at home, sporting a solid 3.45 ERA in their last 20 games, which suggests they know how to keep batters like Domínguez in check. Additionally, with the Cubs' defense tightening up in key spots, the chances of Domínguez finding gaps in the outfield diminish. Given his recent struggles and the Cubs' strategic approach, the "Under" on Domínguez's total bases feels like a prudent play in what could be a tight, low-scoring affair. Expect the Cubs to stymie the Yankees' offense, giving Domínguez a tough night at the plate.

Michael Busch Under 1.5 Total Bases (-161)

As the Cubs welcome the Yankees to Wrigley Field, all eyes will be on Michael Busch, but the smart money might be on the “Under” for his total bases. Busch has been in a bit of a funk lately, struggling to find his rhythm against right-handed pitching, with an alarming dip in his average against them. The Yankees' ace on the mound today, who boasts an impressive strikeout rate, is likely to keep Busch off balance. Moreover, the Cubs' lineup has been inconsistent, often failing to support their hitters against elite pitching. Facing a team with a robust bullpen like the Yankees, it’s hard to envision Busch racking up more than one base hit tonight. Considering the trends and Busch's recent performance, this matchup screams for caution. It's a night where less might just be more for the young slugger.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.