Here are our AFL picks for Saturday 8 August 2026. Our model likes 7 bets here. The one it likes most is Patrick Voss (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Goals, priced at -714 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Patrick Voss (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Goals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking ahead to the clash between Melbourne and Fremantle at the iconic MCG, all eyes are on the dynamic forward Patrick Voss from the Dockers. Voss has been on a scoring spree lately, bagging an impressive average of 3.2 goals in his last five away matches. His accuracy in front of the big sticks has been stellar at 67.0%, showcasing his sharpshooting abilities. Moreover, Voss isn't just a goal kicker; he's heavily involved in the Dockers' attacking plays, averaging 8.6 score involvements and 3.4 inside 50s in his recent away games. With a current hit streak of 5 away goals and 12 goals overall, Voss is in red-hot form, making him a prime candidate to snag at least one goal against Melbourne. The stats paint a clear picture of Voss' impact up front, making the Over 0.5 goals market for him a compelling choice for punters.

Noah Anderson (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 22.5 Disposals (-625)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Noah Anderson is primed to shine in the upcoming clash against the Greater Western Sydney Giants. In his last five away games, Anderson has been a midfield maestro, averaging a whopping 29.6 disposals, including 18.6 kicks and 11 handballs per game. His recent form against the Giants has been exceptional, with an average of 28.2 disposals per game. The stats don't lie - Anderson's contested possessions, disposal efficiency, and ability to cover ground with 564 metres gained on average per game make him a pivotal player to watch. With a model prediction of 31.4 disposals and a solid hit streak of 6 away games hitting the mark, Anderson is poised to not just meet but exceed the 22.5 disposals line. Bet confidently on Anderson snagging plenty of possessions in this upcoming showdown.

Brodie Kemp (Carlton) Over 0.5 Goals (-556)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright footy punters, let's talk Brodie Kemp. The Carlton young gun has been on a tear lately, smashing in an average of 1.6 goals per game over his last five away matches. His accuracy has been on point, hitting the scoreboard 55% of the time with an average of 3.6 shots at goal per game. Kemp isn't just a goal kicker; he's involved in the play, averaging 5.8 score involvements and 2.2 inside 50s on the road. Facing St Kilda, a team he's yet to score against in their last encounters, Kemp is hungry to break that drought. With his current form, riding a five-game goal streak away from home, the odds are in his favor to snag at least one goal in this showdown at Marvel Stadium. So, when it comes to backing Kemp to go Over 0.5 goals, trust the numbers and back the young gun to deliver.

Jayden Short (Richmond) Over 15.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player for disposals in this weekend's clash between the Adelaide Crows and the Richmond Tigers, Jayden Short is the man to watch. Short has been a consistent force, averaging 22.4 disposals in his last five away games. His precision is undeniable, boasting an 88.2% disposal efficiency. With an average of 17.2 kicks and 5.2 handballs per game, Short isn't shy about getting involved in the action. Against the upcoming opponent, he's been even more prolific with an average of 23 disposals in their last encounters. Short's recent form is outstanding, hitting his disposal line in his last 9 away games and maintaining a perfect streak of 19. With his ability to rack up possessions and deliver them effectively, taking the Over on Short's 15.5 disposals line could be a smart play for this matchup at Adelaide Oval.

Hugo Garcia (St Kilda) Over 17.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Hugo Garcia is primed to hit the ground running in this clash at Marvel Stadium. Over his last five home games, Garcia has been an absolute workhorse, averaging a whopping 25.8 disposals per game. His recent form has been nothing short of stellar, with a 77.0% disposal efficiency and an impressive 280.6 metres gained on average. Facing off against Carlton, a team he's historically dominated with an average of 12.3 disposals, Garcia's consistency shines through. With a current hit streak of 4 at home and an overall hit rate of 8/9 in his last matches, all signs point to Garcia surpassing the 17.5 disposal line. Expect Garcia to be in the thick of the action, racking up possessions and driving the Saints forward.

Joel Jeffrey (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 11.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to finding value in the disposals market, Joel Jeffrey stands out as a prime target for the Over 11.5 line. Despite his recent away game averages sitting at 16 disposals, Jeffrey's consistency shines through with a solid L5 performance against today's opponents, the GWS Giants, averaging 15.5 disposals. His ability to cover the ground efficiently is evident in his 80.8% disposal efficiency in away games, showcasing his composure under pressure. With an average of 11.2 kicks and 4.8 handballs per away game, Jeffrey is not just a ball-watcher but a playmaker who can impact the game significantly. Factor in his knack for gaining meters (341.8 average) and his recent form against the Giants, and betting on Joel Jeffrey to surpass 11.5 disposals seems like a smart play for this clash at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka.

Archie Roberts (Essendon) Over 21.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Archie Roberts is poised to shine in the upcoming clash against Geelong. Over his last five away games, he's been a midfield maestro, averaging a whopping 24 disposals, with a stellar disposal efficiency of 79.8%. Roberts doesn't just rack up numbers; he makes them count. His ability to find space and create opportunities is evident in his average of 16.4 kicks and 7.6 handballs per game. Against Geelong, he's been even more prolific, averaging 33 disposals in their last five encounters. With his current form and track record, Roberts is primed to surpass the 21.5 disposal line and be a key factor in Essendon's midfield dominance. Bet on Roberts to snag those crucial possessions and split the middle in this showdown.

That is the model's read on today's AFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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