On August 2, 2026 our 3-leg same game parlay for Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles is built from the bets our model already likes on their own. We rate the whole slip LONG-SHOT confidence. Every leg below is a bet our model already rates on its own, so you can see exactly what you are backing and what the book is paying for it.

The legs, one at a time

Trea Turner Under 1.5 Hits (-244)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we look ahead to the Orioles-Phillies showdown, Trea Turner’s recent form suggests that betting the Under on his hits is a savvy play. The Orioles' pitching staff has found its groove lately, with a solid 3.50 ERA over the last month, making life tough for opposing hitters. Turner, while a dynamic player, has been mired in a bit of an inconsistency lately, managing only a handful of multi-hit games recently. With the Orioles' bullpen also performing well, the chances of him clearing 1.5 hits seem slim. Moreover, the matchup favors Baltimore’s ace, who has been particularly effective against right-handed batters like Turner. With the numbers leaning towards the Under and the implied probability sitting at a robust 70.9%, this bet not only feels right but also aligns with the trends we’ve seen from both the pitcher and the batter. Expect a quiet day at the plate for Turner.

Bryce Harper (PHI) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-161)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Orioles host the Phillies, all eyes will be on Bryce Harper, but betting the under on his total bases might just be the savvy play. Harper has been battling inconsistency lately, with his average dipping against left-handed pitching, which could be a concern against Baltimore’s southpaw starter. Moreover, he’s facing a solid Orioles bullpen that’s quietly been a force, ranked among the best in limiting extra-base hits this season. Given Harper's recent struggles and the fact that the O's are well-prepared defensively, it's tough to see him racking up two total bases today. The combination of a challenging matchup and Harper's current form suggests he'll likely fall short of that 1.5 mark. In a game where runs might be scarce, betting under on Harper's total bases feels like a smart move, capitalizing on the momentum shifts in this tightly contested matchup.

Alec Bohm (PHI) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-192)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Orioles host the Phillies on Sunday, Alec Bohm finds himself in a challenging position to exceed 1.5 total bases. While Bohm has shown flashes of brilliance, he's been in a bit of a slump lately, batting just.230 over the last month. Facing Baltimore's emerging ace, who has a stellar WHIP of 1.10 against right-handed hitters, will only amplify his troubles at the plate. Moreover, the Orioles' bullpen has been nails, ranking in the top five for strikeouts per nine innings. With Bohm's tendency to struggle against high-strikeout pitchers, this matchup is tailor-made for an underperformance. The odds heavily favor the under on his total bases, aligning with recent trends that show Bohm often falling short against tough pitching. Given the circumstances, betting on him to stay under 1.5 total bases feels like the smart move as the game unfolds.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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