Nick Gonzales (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-164)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we gear up for this matchup between the Nationals and Pirates, it’s worth looking closely at Nick Gonzales's recent performance. The young infielder has shown flashes of brilliance, but he's been inconsistent at the plate, particularly against right-handed pitching. With the Nationals expected to start a righty, Gonzales might struggle to find his rhythm. Digging into his recent stats, he’s been hitting just over .230 with a low slugging percentage, which makes the 'Under 1.5 total bases' line quite appealing. Add to that the Pirates' recent trend of underwhelming offensive output—especially in away games—and it's clear that Gonzales will face a tough challenge. With the odds hinting at a significant drop-off in his production, betting on him to fall short of that total bases mark feels like a smart play in this matchup. Keep an eye on the game; it could be a long afternoon for Gonzales at the plate.

Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates : Under 14.5 Total Runs (-526)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

When the Washington Nationals take on the Pittsburgh Pirates, the expectation for a low-scoring affair is palpable. Both teams have shown a propensity for offensive struggles recently, with the Nationals averaging only 3.9 runs per game over their last ten outings. Meanwhile, the Pirates sit at a meager 4.1 runs per game, but their batting average has dipped, making them increasingly reliant on their pitching staff. Speaking of pitching, the Nationals’ starter has been a bright spot, boasting a 3.30 ERA in his last five starts, effectively silencing bats with a mix of breaking pitches and command. The Pirates’ pitcher, while not stellar, has managed to limit hard contact, which could further stifle scoring opportunities. Given the trends and the sheer volume of low-scoring games both teams have been involved in, taking the Under 14.5 feels like the right play here. Expect a tight contest where runs come at a premium.

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