Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Zack Littell is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 86%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +24.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 8:21PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts
Under 3.5
-161 (1.62) · $100→$162
+24.3% Edge
Washington Nationals
@
Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Tue 4 Aug, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
61.7%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Strikeouts | 86.0% | — | 61.7% | 1.16 | +24.3% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 3/3 |
| Last 5 games | 4/5 |
| Last 10 games | 6/10 |
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Zack Littell (TBR) Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-161)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Philadelphia Phillies play Washington Nationals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Zack Littell (TBR) Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-161). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at -161 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.21 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 2.580%
O 3.570%
O 4.550%
O 5.530%
Zack Littell MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted Zack Littell MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted Zack Littell MLB earned runs: cleared over 2.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 3.4 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Zack Littell MLB outs: averaging 17.4 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Zack Littell (TBR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zack Littell is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.3% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday 4 August at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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