Sonny Gray (CIN) Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+107)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Red Sox gear up to face the Blue Jays on Saturday, all eyes will be on Sonny Gray. While Gray has shown flashes of brilliance this season, his strikeout rate has been surprisingly inconsistent against potent lineups like Toronto's. The Blue Jays have a knack for making contact, ranking among the top teams in the league for fewest strikeouts per game. In their recent meetings, Gray has struggled against their deep lineup, often pitching to contact rather than racking up the K's. With the model predicting just over three strikeouts for him, taking the under on 4.5 feels like a smart play. Add in the fact that Gray’s recent outings have seen him flirt with trouble, and it’s clear that while he may keep the runs in check, the strikeouts could be hard to come by. Expect the Blue Jays to put the bat on the ball, keeping Gray under that threshold.

Zach Neto (NA) Under 1.5 Hits (-164)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Giants host the Angels, keep an eye on rookie Zach Neto's hitting prowess. Despite a promising debut season, he’s been struggling lately, managing only a handful of hits in his last several games. Facing a Giants pitching staff that’s been stellar at home, particularly with their ability to limit opposing hitters, this matchup may not favor Neto. San Francisco's starters have been painting the corners with precision, showcasing a solid strikeout rate that can frustrate even seasoned hitters. With Neto's recent numbers dipping and the Giants' emphasis on controlling the game from the mound, predicting he's held to under 1.5 hits seems prudent. The odds also suggest a strong probability, emphasizing that the Giants’ pitching strategy aligns perfectly with Neto’s current form. Betting the under on his hits could prove to be a smart play in this tightly contested game.

Brandon Young (NA) Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-122)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Orioles host the Braves, all eyes will be on Brandon Young, but backing the 'Under 4.5' on his strikeouts could be a savvy play. Young has been solid this season, yet he faces a Braves lineup that thrives on making contact. Atlanta has the highest batting average in the league and often puts up runs without needing to chase strikeouts. Young's recent outings show a trend of fewer K’s, especially against teams with strong offensive prowess. With a model prediction of just 2.69 strikeouts, it’s clear that the matchup isn't favorable for a big strikeout day. Combine that with the Orioles' fluctuating bullpen performance, and you have a recipe for Young to pitch to contact rather than rack up Ks. Given these dynamics, the under feels like the smart play as the Orioles aim for a win while keeping the ball in play.

Nolan Schanuel (NA) Under 1.5 Hits (-154)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Giants prepare to face the Angels, all eyes will be on rookie sensation Nolan Schanuel. While he’s shown flashes of brilliance, his recent performance suggests he may struggle against San Francisco’s elite pitching. The Giants’ staff has been stingy, boasting a solid 3.50 ERA at home, and their ability to neutralize left-handed hitters has been particularly impressive. Schanuel, despite his potential, has been less consistent lately, hitting below .250 over the past two weeks. With the Giants’ formidable bullpen ready to step in after a strong start, the odds favor a quiet day for him at the plate. When you factor in the pressure of a rivalry matchup, it’s easy to see why the under on 1.5 hits for Schanuel stands out. He might get a couple of good pitches, but with the Giants in this kind of form, he’ll likely find it tough to connect.

Nolan Schanuel (NA) Under 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Giants and Angels clash on Saturday, Nolan Schanuel stands out as a player to watch, but betting on him to exceed 2.5 hits, runs, or RBIs might be a stretch. Schanuel has shown flashes of brilliance this season, yet he’s been inconsistent against left-handed pitching, which is critical given the Giants are starting a lefty. In his last few outings, Schanuel’s been held to low production, averaging just over one hit in his last five games. The Giants' pitching staff has been particularly stingy at home, boasting a solid ERA that stifles opposing batters. With Schanuel's struggles against lefties and the Giants’ current form, it’s reasonable to lean towards the 'Under' here. Expect a tight game where Schanuel might find it tough to make a significant impact, making the under 2.5 a savvy play.

Drew Gilbert (NA) Under 1.5 Hits (-145)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Giants clash with the Angels, Drew Gilbert’s recent form suggests this might be a tough outing for him. Over the last couple of weeks, he’s struggled at the plate, batting just .210 against right-handed pitchers, which could spell trouble against a Giants lineup that has been sharp defensively. San Francisco’s pitching staff has been formidable at home, boasting an impressive strikeout rate that could keep Gilbert guessing all night. The Giants are also known for their ability to limit opposing batters' hits, having allowed just 7 hits per game recently. Given that Gilbert is projected to record just 0.65 hits, taking the under on 1.5 seems like a savvy play. The numbers line up nicely with his current slump and the Giants' strong defensive showing, making this under a compelling option as the teams face off in what promises to be a strategic battle on the diamond.

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