Connor Wong (NA) Under 0.5 Hits (+128)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Athletics face off against the Red Sox, keep an eye on Connor Wong's hitting performance. The A's have been surprisingly effective on the mound lately, with their pitching staff striking out batters at an impressive rate, and Wong, despite his talent, has struggled against left-handed pitching. With a lineup that often falters against southpaws, the A's will look to exploit this weakness. Wong's recent stats reveal a downturn; he’s been held hitless in several key games, and with the A's ace on the mound, he might find himself in a tight spot. Given the current trend of both teams, it's reasonable to expect him to remain under the half-hit mark. The odds suggest a compelling angle here, with a solid chance that Wong won’t find his way on base tonight.

Myles Straw (TOR) Under 0.5 Hits (+112)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Washington Nationals host the Toronto Blue Jays, all eyes will be on Myles Straw, but betting on him to register a hit could be a risky proposition. Straw has been struggling lately, with a batter average that’s dipped significantly against right-handed pitching, which is exactly what he’ll face today. The Nationals’ starter has been stellar at home, boasting a solid WHIP and keeping opponents’ hit rates low. Moreover, the Blue Jays' lineup has been inconsistent, which could put more pressure on Straw to deliver in clutch situations. With his current form and the tough matchup against a pitcher effectively limiting hard contact, betting the under on Straw's hits feels prudent. A lean towards the under at 0.5 aligns with recent trends, making it a savvy play in this contest. Expect the Nationals' pitcher to keep him at bay tonight.

Andrew Alvarez (WSN) Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-118)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Nationals host the Blue Jays, all eyes will be on Andrew Alvarez, whose recent performance suggests a quieter night on the strikeout front. Sure, this young pitcher has shown flashes of brilliance, but he’s consistently struggled against powerful lineups like Toronto’s. Over his last few outings, Alvarez has averaged just over two strikeouts, and the Blue Jays’ aggressive approach at the plate tends to neutralize pitchers who rely on strikeouts. When you look at their season stats, the Jays rank among the top teams in the league for contact rate, meaning they'll likely put the ball in play instead of chasing pitches. With Alvarez’s strikeout rate hovering around 5.5 K/9 in recent weeks, the under 3.5 strikeouts feels like a safe bet. Expect the Jays to put pressure on him early, leading to a game where he’s more about limiting damage than racking up whiffs.

Jakob Marsee (MIA) Under 0.5 Hits (-123)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Marlins host the Phillies, all eyes will be on Jakob Marsee, but betting on him to record over 0.5 hits might not be the safest play. Marsee has struggled recently, posting a batting average under .200 in the last two weeks. When facing left-handed pitchers, like the Phillies' Aaron Nola, his performance dips even further; he’s hitting just .150 against southpaws this season. Nola has been sharp, boasting an impressive strikeout rate and limiting opponents to a .220 average. Given his ability to neutralize hitters and Marsee’s current slump, it’s tough to see him breaking through today. The Marlins have also been inconsistent offensively, particularly against quality pitching, which heightens the likelihood that Marsee will be held hitless. All signs point toward an under performance for him tonight, making the under on hits an intriguing bet.

Mitch Keller (NA) Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-172)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Pirates take the field against the Diamondbacks, all eyes will be on Mitch Keller and his strikeout potential. While Keller has shown flashes of brilliance this season, the numbers tell a different story when it comes to facing Arizona. The Diamondbacks, with their aggressive approach, have been adept at making contact, ranking among the league's bottom teams in strikeout percentage. Furthermore, Keller's recent outings reveal a trend of underwhelming strikeout totals, averaging just over two strikeouts per game against teams like Arizona. With the Diamondbacks' hitters finding their groove and Keller facing a lineup that thrives on putting the ball in play, the under on 4.5 strikeouts feels like a savvy play. It’s not just about the surface stats; it’s about the matchup dynamics that favor a lower strikeout total in this intriguing duel at PNC Park.

Sal Stewart (NA) Under 1.5 Hits (-233)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Reds host the Guardians, all eyes are on Sal Stewart, but the expectations for his hitting might be a bit too high. Recent trends highlight Stewart's struggles against right-handed pitching, which makes the Guardians' starter particularly daunting. He’s been racking up strikeouts, and with the Reds' lineup faltering against pitchers with high strikeout rates, Stewart could find himself in a tough spot. Furthermore, the Guardians are known for their solid defense, and they’ve limited opposing hitters effectively in July. With Stewart averaging less than half a hit per game against comparable pitchers, the odds favor the 'Under' on his hits. Given the statistical landscape and the way both teams have been performing, betting on Stewart to stay under the 1.5 mark feels like a savvy play. It’s a calculated risk that could pay off handsomely tonight.

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