Here are our NFL picks for Sunday 4 October 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 38.5 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Minnesota Vikings play Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Over 38.5 Total Points. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins: Over 38.5 Total Points (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Minnesota Vikings play Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Over 38.5 Total Points. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins: Minnesota Vikings (-104)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Minnesota Vikings play Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Minnesota Vikings. That is a Team Total bet. It was priced at -104 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Tampa Bay Buccaneers play Green Bay Packers in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tampa Bay Buccaneers. That is a Team Total bet. It was priced at -104 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Seattle Seahawks play Los Angeles Chargers in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Los Angeles Chargers. That is a Team Total bet. It was priced at +106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
New York Giants play Arizona Cardinals in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is New York Giants +2.5 Point Spread. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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