Here are our AFL picks for Saturday 26 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 182.5 Total Points, priced at -112 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 182.5 Total Points. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Over 21.5 Team Total, first quarter (-102)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Over 21.5 Team Total, first quarter. It was priced at -102 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Fremantle Dockers 7.5 (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Fremantle Dockers 7.5. That is a Spread bet. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Under 91.5 Total, second half (-120)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 91.5 Total, second half. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Under 46.5 Team Total, first half (-112)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 46.5 Team Total, first half. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Under 90.5 Total, first half (-115)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Fremantle Dockers play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 90.5 Total, first half. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the model's read on today's AFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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