Here are our AFL picks for Saturday 29 August 2026. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues: Melbourne Demons Win, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues: Melbourne Demons Win (+110)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Melbourne Demons play Carlton Blues in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Melbourne Demons Win. That is a Head to Head bet. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues: Melbourne Demons 4.5 (-111)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Melbourne Demons play Carlton Blues in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Melbourne Demons 4.5. That is a Spread bet. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues: Melbourne Demons 0.5 spreads_q2 (-110)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Melbourne Demons play Carlton Blues in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Melbourne Demons 0.5 spreads_q2. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues: Over 42.5 team_totals_h1 (-108)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Melbourne Demons play Carlton Blues in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Over 42.5 team_totals_h1. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's AFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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