On Saturday 8 August 2026, Sydney Swans play Port Adelaide Power in the AFL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Isaac Heeney (Sydney Swans) Over 20.5 Disposals, priced at -769 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Isaac Heeney (Sydney Swans) Over 20.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Isaac Heeney is primed to shine on his home turf at the SCG against Port Adelaide. Over his last 5 home games, Heeney has been a disposal machine, averaging a hefty 30 disposals per game, well above the 20.5 line set by the bookies. His recent form is nothing short of spectacular, boasting an impressive disposal efficiency of 66.7% and racking up an average of 15.8 kicks and 14.2 handballs. He's been a key figure in the Swans' midfield battles, consistently winning contested possessions and notching up vital intercepts. With a solid track record of hitting his disposal line and an impeccable hit rate, Heeney is poised to once again split the middle and deliver for punters backing him to go over 20.5 disposals in this matchup.

Isaac Heeney (Sydney Swans) Over 21.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Isaac Heeney, the Swans' midfield maestro, is set to shine at the SCG against Port Adelaide. Over his last five home games, he's been a disposal-gathering machine, averaging a whopping 30 touches per game. With a stellar disposal efficiency of 66.7% and an impressive 442.8 meters gained on average, he's the engine driving Sydney's midfield dominance. Facing Port Adelaide, he's shown he can step up, averaging 24.2 disposals in their recent encounters. Heeney's current form is red hot, boasting an 8-game hit streak at home and a perfect 16/16 hit rate overall. The stats paint a clear picture: Heeney is primed to surpass the 21.5 disposal line comfortably, making him a solid bet to back for another standout performance.

Jason Horne-Francis (Port Adelaide) Over 17.5 Disposals (-625)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, Jason Horne-Francis is the man to watch this weekend. Hitting a hot streak with four consecutive games exceeding expectations, he's been a midfield maestro for Port Adelaide. Averaging a solid 23.6 disposals in his last five away games, Horne-Francis is a reliable ball magnet who thrives under pressure, boasting 10.4 contested possessions on average. Facing the Sydney Swans, a team he's historically performed well against, with a recent average of 21 disposals per game, Horne-Francis is poised to shine. His consistency in both contested and uncontested possessions, coupled with his knack for gaining valuable meters, makes the Over 17.5 disposals line a smart bet to snag a win on Saturday.

That is how our model reads Sydney Swans v Port Adelaide Power. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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