On Monday 31 August 2026, Sydney Swans play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Tom Papley (Sydney Swans) Over 0.5 Goals, priced at -500 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Tom Papley (Sydney Swans) Over 0.5 Goals (-500)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Sydney Swans play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Tom Papley (Sydney Swans) Over 0.5 Goals. It was priced at -500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Sydney Swans v Brisbane Lions. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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