Here are the 6 NRL player props our model likes most for August 26, 2026 — every one is our own number against the bookmaker's price, with the reasoning in plain English.
Billy Burns — anytime try scorer at $6.80
Our confidence: LONG-SHOT. We rate this one's chances higher than today's price does.
Ethan Roberts scoring a try at +1500 offers a tempting payout for this game. He plays an attacking role for the
North Queensland Cowboys, which means he often gets chances to touch down. The matchup against the
Wests Tigers looks promising, as they have struggled to defend against strong attacking players this season. However, Roberts is considered an outsider in this game, so there's a chance he might not get enough opportunities to score. Still, with his position and the Tigers' defense, it's worth a shot. If he gets the ball in a good spot, he could surprise everyone and find the try line.
Caleb Navale is priced at +1300 to score a try anytime, which is a solid pick given his role in the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles' attack. He has shown some spark lately and can take advantage of gaps in the St George Illawarra Dragons' defense, especially if they struggle to keep up with the pace of the game. However, he is still seen as an outsider, so there's a chance he might not get enough opportunities to touch the ball near the try line. If the match becomes tightly contested, it could limit his chances. Still, with his speed and skills, he definitely has the potential to break through and score when it counts.
Latrell Mitchell needs to score at least two tries for this bet to win. He plays a key attacking role for the
South Sydney Rabbitohs and has shown he can find the try line, especially against teams like the
Gold Coast Titans, who can struggle with defense at times. While scoring two tries is a tough ask and the odds are high, Mitchell is known for his big-game moments. The biggest risk is that the Titans might come out strong and limit his chances, but if the Rabbitohs get into their groove, he definitely has the talent to make this happen. The
Sydney Roosters are set to face the
Dolphins, and
Thomas Flegler has a solid chance to score a try. He plays an important attacking role and has shown he can break through defenses. The Roosters are strong at home, but the Dolphins have been tough opponents lately, making this matchup interesting. Flegler's odds are quite high, which means it's a bit of a long shot. The closest challenge could be the Dolphins' defense, which has been known to hold up against powerful players. Still, with Flegler's skills and the attacking opportunities he might have, this bet could pay off. The
Penrith Panthers have a strong defense, but
Max King plays a key role in Canterbury's attack as a forward who can power through tough spots. He's known for his ability to break tackles and find space near the line, making him a solid pick for scoring a try against a tough team. While the odds are against him, the chance that he gets one over the line is not out of reach. The biggest risk here is that the Panthers have a very tight defense, which can make scoring tough for any player. Still, given King's skills and the matchup, it's worth a go at those odds.