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Model picks & player props
Sydney Roosters
VS
Penrith Panthers

Sydney Roosters vs Penrith Panthers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 17, 9:23PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NRL
Sun 13 Sep 2026, 6:05AM
20
Game markets graded
8
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 40.5 Alt Total Points -154

The model graded 28 markets for Sydney Roosters vs Penrith Panthers (NRL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $165 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 13 Sep 2026, 6:05AM.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win71.7%
The price says56.6%
Best price-154
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Total Points Over 40.5 High72% chance -154
Alt Total Points High71% chance
Alt Spread Long-shot27% chance
Alt Spread Long-shot40% chance
Alt Spread High62% chance
Alt Spread High61% chance
Alt Spread Lean43% chance
Alt Spread Long-shot39% chance
Alt Total Points Long-shot25% chance
Anytime Try × 1 prop Long-shotup to 5%
Try Scorer First × 2 props Long-shotup to 2%
Tries Over × 3 props Long-shotup to 2%
Try Scorer Last × 2 props Long-shotup to 3%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Sydney Roosters and Penrith Panthers last met on Sun 13 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every NRL game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Sydney Roosters · $100 returned $288

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NRL market — 88 of 173 right (nrl totals overs)
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Total Points
Over
40.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sydney RoostersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sydney RoostersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Penrith PanthersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Penrith PanthersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sydney RoostersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sydney RoostersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sydney RoostersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sydney RoostersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sydney RoostersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sydney RoostersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sydney RoostersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sydney RoostersAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Sydney Roosters

Player availability is not tracked for NRL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Penrith Panthers

Player availability is not tracked for NRL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Sydney Roosters vs Penrith Panthers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and player availability isn't tracked for NRL on this page.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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The preview

Written 13 Sep

Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters Prediction & Picks (Lindsay Collins Key Factor): Smart Betting Angles

On Sunday 13 September 2026, Penrith Panthers play Sydney Roosters in the NRL. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Sydney Roosters +9.5 on the Line, priced at -111 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Sydney Roosters +9.5 on the Line (-111)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Sunday 13 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Sydney Roosters 9.5 Line. On this line Sydney Roosters start with 9.5 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Over 42.5 Total Points (-111)

Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing

On Sunday 13 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Over 42.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 42.5 points between them. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Lindsay Collins to Score a Try (+2000)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Sunday 13 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Lindsay Collins Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Lindsay Collins scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +2000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $210 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +2000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $210 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Liam Henry Over 1.5 Tries (+8000)

Odds available at Neds at time of publishing

On Sunday 13 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Liam Henry Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Liam Henry scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +8000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $810 if it lands. That price was showing at Neds. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +8000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $810 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Penrith Panthers v Sydney Roosters. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Lindsay Collins Anytime Try
Liam Henry Try Scorer First
Siua Wong Tries Over
Reece Robson Try Scorer First
Daly Cherry-Evans Try Scorer Last

+ 8 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Sydney Roosters @ Penrith Panthers — what the model found

Our model graded 28 betting markets for Sydney Roosters at Penrith Panthers — 20 on the game itself and 8 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
8
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 28 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 27 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Sydney Roosters @ Penrith Panthers — model preview

Penrith Panthers v Sydney Roosters, 13 September 2026. Top of the list: Sydney Roosters +9.5 on the Line. Our model likes 4 bets in this game.

On Sunday 13 September 2026, Penrith Panthers play Sydney Roosters in the NRL. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Sydney Roosters +9.5 on the Line, priced at -111 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Sydney Roosters +9.5 on the Line (-111)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Sunday 13 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Sydney Roosters in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Sydney Roosters 9.5 Line. On this line Sydney Roosters start with 9.5 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
13 Sep 26 Spread Sydney Roosters +8.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alt Spread Sydney Roosters +13.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alt Spread Sydney Roosters +12.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alt Spread Penrith Panthers -6.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alt Spread Sydney Roosters +8.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alt Spread Sydney Roosters +11.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alt Spread Sydney Roosters +10.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alt Spread Sydney Roosters +9.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Spread Sydney Roosters +9.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alt Spread Sydney Roosters +7.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Sydney Roosters vs Penrith Panthers in the NRL. You may also see this matchup written as Roosters vs Panthers, or as Panthers vs Roosters. The most recent game between them was Sunday 13 September 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks and 8 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NRL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Even at 1–1 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
13 Sep 2026Roosters @ Panthers19–12Panthers
13 Aug 2026Roosters @ Panthers6–12Roosters
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