On Saturday 7 November 2026, Arsenal play Hull City in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Hull City +2 Goal Handicap, priced at -105 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Arsenal vs Hull City: Hull City +2 Goal Handicap (-105)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Arsenal welcomes Hull City this Saturday, the momentum seems to favor the visitors. While Arsenal boasts a solid home record, their recent form shows vulnerabilities, especially in their last five matches where they dropped points in one of those games. Hull City, despite struggling away, has shown resilience, with two draws and a win in their last five. What stands out is Arsenal's defensive inconsistency-notably conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game in recent outings. Hull has been a tough nut to crack, and while they scored only an average of 1.2 goals recently, they've been able to match that against tougher opponents. With Arsenal's tendency to allow chances and Hull's fighting spirit, a handicap bet on Hull City at +2 feels compelling. It's a calculated risk that could see Hull capitalize on any Arsenal sloppiness, making this matchup more intriguing than it appears at first glance.
Arsenal vs Hull City: Under 4.5 Total Goals (-385)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Arsenal takes on Hull City, the narrative suggests a low-scoring affair is likely. The Gunners have been rock solid defensively at home, allowing just 0.4 goals per game over their last five matches at the Emirates. They've also managed a tidy 2 goals on average, but against a Hull side that's struggled to find their rhythm, this could be a different story. Hull's away form has been shaky, with only 1 goal conceded per match recently, and they've averaged just 1.2 goals themselves. Looking at expected goals (xG), both teams haven't shown much potency in recent outings, contributing to a scenario where the odds of the match seeing more than 4.5 goals seem slim. The combination of Arsenal's defensive solidity and Hull's inconsistency points towards a bet on the Under 4.5 being a savvy play in this matchup.
That is how our model reads Arsenal v Hull City. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.