South Sydney Rabbitohs v Newcastle Knights, 11 September 2026. Top of the list: Under 46.5 Total Points. Our model likes 3 bets in this game.
On Friday 11 September 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs play Newcastle Knights in the NRL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 46.5 Total Points, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 46.5 Total Points (+110)
Odds available at Unibet at time of publishing
On Friday 11 September 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Under 46.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score fewer than 46.5 points between them. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. That price was showing at Unibet. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
South Sydney Rabbitohs -7.5 on the Line (-111)
Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing
On Friday 11 September 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is South Sydney Rabbitohs -7.5 Line. On this line South Sydney Rabbitohs give up 7.5 points before the game starts, so they have to win by more than 7.5. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Harrison Graham to Score a Try (+1200)
Odds available at BetRight at time of publishing
On Friday 11 September 2026, South Sydney Rabbitohs host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Harrison Graham Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Harrison Graham scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +1200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $130 if it lands. That price was showing at BetRight. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +1200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $130 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads South Sydney Rabbitohs v Newcastle Knights. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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