On Sunday 4 October 2026, Sydney Roosters play Newcastle Knights in the NRL. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 42.5 Total Points, priced at -111 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
On Sunday 4 October 2026, Sydney Roosters host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Over 42.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 42.5 points between them. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sydney Roosters -7.5 on the Line (-111)
Odds available at Betr at time of publishing
On Sunday 4 October 2026, Sydney Roosters host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Sydney Roosters -7.5 Line. On this line Sydney Roosters give up 7.5 points before the game starts, so they have to win by more than 7.5. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. That price was showing at betr. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Mat Croker to Score a Try (+1800)
Odds available at BetRight at time of publishing
On Sunday 4 October 2026, Sydney Roosters host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Mat Croker Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Mat Croker scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +1800 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $190 if it lands. That price was showing at BetRight. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +1800 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $190 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Greg Marzhew Over 2.5 Tries (+3000)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
On Sunday 4 October 2026, Sydney Roosters host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Greg Marzhew Over 2.5 Tries. This wins if Greg Marzhew scores at least 3 tries. It was priced at +3000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $310 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +3000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $310 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Sydney Roosters v Newcastle Knights. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.