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NRL · model output · updated daily

NRL predicted scores: the model's number for every game

As of 6 Sep 2026, the model rates South Sydney Rabbitohs 50% to beat Newcastle Knights, projected South Sydney Rabbitohs 27.6 – Newcastle Knights 16.5, in the next NRL game it has priced. 4 games are on the board below, every one graded in public on the record.

The model's projected final score for every upcoming NRL game it has priced — derived from its own margin and total estimates, refreshed as the model updates. Free to quote with credit. Updated 6 Sep 2026, 18:44 UTC

Newcastle Knights at South Sydney Rabbitohs
South Sydney Rabbitohs 27.6, Newcastle Knights 16.5
Fri 11 Sep, 09:50 UTC · "Bet Better model: South Sydney Rabbitohs 27.6, Newcastle Knights 16.5"
Dolphins at New Zealand Warriors
New Zealand Warriors 18.9, Dolphins 25.2
Sat 12 Sep, 06:05 UTC · "Bet Better model: New Zealand Warriors 18.9, Dolphins 25.2"
North Queensland Cowboys at Cronulla Sutherland Sharks
North Queensland Cowboys by 9
Sat 12 Sep, 09:50 UTC · "Bet Better model: North Queensland Cowboys by 9"
Sydney Roosters at Penrith Panthers
Penrith Panthers 36.6, Sydney Roosters 20.2
Sun 13 Sep, 06:05 UTC · Penrith Panthers win chance: 76% · "Bet Better model: Penrith Panthers 36.6, Sydney Roosters 20.2"

How these are made: the model estimates a margin and a combined total for each game; the projected score is the pair of numbers those two imply. They are estimates, not certainties — treat them as the model's centre of gravity, not a promise. Quote freely with credit to Bet Better (CC BY 4.0). See NRL picks, live NRL odds, or the free model API for the underlying probabilities. 18+. Model output is not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

Get this page as data: the same predictions are served machine-readable at nrl?format=csv and ?format=json — fixed columns, UTC times, free to use with credit. Trackers and aggregators welcome; the columns won't change without notice. More endpoints on the free model API page.

The recordWhen our formula calls nrl totals overs: 87 of 147 right · +$4,250 at $100 flat
Latest cashed · this bet typeSep 6
Over 44.5
Wests Tigers @ Penrith Panthers
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $171
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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