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Model picks & player props
NFL
Minnesota
Sun 4 Oct 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Miami Dolphins
VS
Minnesota Vikings

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings and backs Over 20.5 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $490.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Miami Dolphins
over 20.5 points
Over 20.5 Alternate Team Total Points
You bet$10 If it wins$49.00Best price+390
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win30.0%
The price says19.3%

The model graded 70 markets for Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $490 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 4 Oct 2026, 4:05 PM ET at Minnesota.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alternate Team Total Points Miami Dolphins Over 20.5 Long-shot30% chance +390
Alternate Team Total Points Members only Lean46% chance Members
Totals H1 Members only High64% chance Members
Alternate Totals H1 Members only High72% chance Members
Alternate Team Totals H2 Members only Long-shot32% chance Members
Alternate Team Totals H1 Members only Lean44% chance Members
Team Total Members only Lean60% chance Members
Totals Q4 Members only Lean54% chance Members
Rushing Attempts × 2 props Highup to 81% Members
Passing Yards × 1 prop Highup to 73% Members
Rushing Yards (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 92% Members
Receptions × 5 props Highup to 86% Members
Rush + Rec Yards × 2 props Highup to 72% Members
Receiving Yards (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 86% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →

Miami Dolphins and Minnesota Vikings last met on Sun 4 Oct 2026: Minnesota Vikings won 15-10. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alternate Team Total Points
Over
20.5
+390
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotals Q4The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Miami Dolphins

  • Jaylen Wright RBQuestionable
  • Caleb Douglas WRQuestionable
  • Will Kacmarek TEQuestionable
  • Willie Gay Jr. LBQuestionable
  • Kyle Louis LBOut
  • Tucker Addington LSQuestionable
  • Reese Taylor CBQuestionable
  • Robert Beal Jr. DEQuestionable

Minnesota Vikings

  • Christian Darrisaw OTQuestionable
  • T.J. Hockenson TEQuestionable
  • Jordan Mason RBOut
  • Donovan Jackson GOut
  • Josh Oliver TEOut
Availability updated Oct 23, 3:16PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 13 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability13 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Kyler Murray MIN Rushing Attempts
Malik Willis MIA Passing Yards
Ollie Gordon II MIA Rushing Yards (Alt)
Ryan Miller MIA Receptions
Aaron Jones MIN Rush + Rec Yards

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMiami Dolphins to winNo line posted

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadMiami Dolphins spreadNo line posted

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsDolphins @ VikingsNo line posted

Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Miami Dolphins @ Minnesota Vikings — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings — recent results

Minnesota Vikings have won 5 of their last 5 games; Miami Dolphins have won 0 of their last 5.

Minnesota Vikings — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W23–13NOAway
W15–10MIAHome
W23–16TBAway
W9–3CHIAway
W39–22GBHome
Miami Dolphins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L24–31CINHome
L10–15MINAway
L10–24KCHome
L13–35SFAway
L13–27LVAway

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Minnesota Vikings won 1, Miami Dolphins won 0.

DateMinnesota VikingsMiami DolphinsWinner
Oct 41510Minnesota Vikings

Who’s out or in doubt

13 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Minnesota Vikings
PlayerStatus
Christian Darrisaw OTQUESTIONABLE
T.J. Hockenson TEQUESTIONABLE
Jordan Mason RBOUT
Donovan Jackson GOUT
Josh Oliver TEOUT
Miami Dolphins
PlayerStatus
Jaylen Wright RBQUESTIONABLE
Caleb Douglas WRQUESTIONABLE
Will Kacmarek TEQUESTIONABLE
Willie Gay Jr. LBQUESTIONABLE
Kyle Louis LBOUT
Tucker Addington LSQUESTIONABLE
Reese Taylor CBQUESTIONABLE
Robert Beal Jr. DEQUESTIONABLE

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Dolphins vs Vikings, or as Vikings vs Dolphins. The most recent game between them was Sunday 4 October 2026 at Minnesota. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Minnesota Vikings 3–0 across the last 3 meetings (meetings on record since 2018)

Last meeting: Sun 4 Oct 2026, Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings: the Vikings won 15-10.

DateGameScoreWinner
4 Oct 2026Miami Dolphins @ Minnesota Vikings15–10Minnesota Vikings
16 Oct 2022Minnesota Vikings @ Miami Dolphins16–24Minnesota Vikings
16 Dec 2018Miami Dolphins @ Minnesota Vikings41–17Minnesota Vikings

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