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Model picks & player props
Miami Dolphins
VS
Las Vegas Raiders

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 19, 10:37PM UTC

Our model graded 70 markets for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders and backs Miami Dolphins -1.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $262.

NFL
Las Vegas
Sun 13 Sep 2026, 8:25PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Miami Dolphins -1.5 Alternate Spreads H2 +162

The model graded 70 markets for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $262 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 13 Sep 2026, 8:25PM at Las Vegas.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win57.7%
The price says42.8%
Best price+162
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alternate Spreads H2 Miami Dolphins -1.5 Lean58% chance +162
Alternate Spreads H1 Members only High63% chance Members
Alternate Spreads H2 Members only Lean54% chance Members
Moneyline Q4 Members only Lean59% chance Members
Spreads H2 Members only High63% chance Members
Totals Q4 Members only High62% chance Members
Alternate Totals H1 Members only Long-shot38% chance Members
Alternate Team Total Points Members only Long-shot34% chance Members
Totals H1 Members only Lean59% chance Members
Last Touchdown Scorer × 12 props Long-shotup to 30% Members
Rushing Yards × 2 props Highup to 72% Members
Receiving Yards (Alt) × 5 props Highup to 96% Members
Receiving Yards × 4 props Highup to 73% Members
Receptions × 5 props Highup to 71% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →

Miami Dolphins and Las Vegas Raiders last met on Sun 13 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Ashton Jeanty Over 39.5 · $100 returned $646

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NFL market — 174 of 355 right (nfl alternate team total points overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 15
Kansas City Chiefs Over 17.5
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $136
Our call on this game: — members only · unlock tonight's call2 picks on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alternate Spreads H2
Miami Dolphins
-2.5
+176
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 57,537+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Miami DolphinsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas RaidersAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsMoneyline Q4The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas RaidersSpreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotals Q4The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsMoneyline H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Miami Dolphins

  • Ronnie Harrison Jr. LBOut
  • Chop Robinson LBOut
  • Kyle Louis LBOut
  • Tucker Addington LSQuestionable

Las Vegas Raiders

  • Aidan O'Connell QBQuestionable
  • Darien Porter CBOut
  • Brock Bowers TEDoubtful
Availability updated Sep 19, 3:33AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Tre Tucker LV Last Touchdown Scorer
Ashton Jeanty LV Rushing Yards
Michael Mayer LV Receiving Yards (Alt)
Michael Mayer LV Receiving Yards
Brock Bowers LV Last Touchdown Scorer

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMiami Dolphins to winNo line posted

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadLas Vegas Raiders spreadNo line posted

Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsDolphins @ RaidersNo line posted

Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders — recent results

Las Vegas Raiders have won 3 of their last 5 games; Miami Dolphins have won 0 of their last 5.

Las Vegas Raiders — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W27–13MIAHome
L12–18SFHome
W22–20HOUAway
L14–27ARIHome
W14–12KCHome
Miami Dolphins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L13–27LVAway
L12–17ATLHome
L3–26NYGHome
L7–20WSHAway
L10–38NEAway

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Las Vegas Raiders won 1, Miami Dolphins won 0.

DateLas Vegas RaidersMiami DolphinsWinner
Sep 132713Las Vegas Raiders

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Las Vegas Raiders
PlayerStatus
Aidan O'Connell QBQUESTIONABLE
Darien Porter CBOUT
Brock Bowers TEDOUBTFUL
Miami Dolphins
PlayerStatus
Ronnie Harrison Jr. LBOUT
Chop Robinson LBOUT
Kyle Louis LBOUT
Tucker Addington LSQUESTIONABLE

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
13 Sep 26 Alternate Totals H1 Over 16.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Totals H1 Over 14.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Totals H1 Over 19.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Team Total Points Over 26.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Team Total Points Over 25.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Team Total Points Over 24.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Team Total Points Over 23.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Spreads H1 Las Vegas Raiders -3.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Spreads H2 Las Vegas Raiders -1.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Totals Q3 Over 7.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Dolphins vs Raiders, or as Raiders vs Dolphins. The most recent game between them was Sunday 13 September 2026 at Las Vegas. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 7 meetings on record
Miami Dolphins 4–3 across the last 7 meetings · these games average 47.9 points (meetings on record since 2017)
DateGameScoreWinner
13 Sep 2026Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders27–13Las Vegas Raiders
17 Nov 2024Las Vegas Raiders @ Miami Dolphins34–19Miami Dolphins
19 Nov 2023Las Vegas Raiders @ Miami Dolphins20–13Miami Dolphins
26 Sep 2021Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders31–28Las Vegas Raiders
26 Dec 2020Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders25–26Miami Dolphins
23 Sep 2018Las Vegas Raiders @ Miami Dolphins28–20Miami Dolphins
5 Nov 2017Las Vegas Raiders @ Miami Dolphins24–27Las Vegas Raiders

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