On September 12, 2026 our model has run New York Mets at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is New York Yankees To Win (-185), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.
Every bet we like in this game
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Yankees have been on a roll lately, scoring an average of 2.5 runs more than their opponents in their last 12 games. With a strong performance against left-handed pitchers, they managed a solid hitting rate this year. The Mets, on the other hand, have struggled a bit more against lefties, hitting lower than the league average. Betting on the Yankees to win makes sense given their current form and home advantage at Yankee Stadium. While both teams have won 7 of their last 10 games, the Yankees seem to have a better chance based on their hitting stats. However, the tight competition between these two teams means it could go either way.
New York Yankees vs New York Mets: Over 7.5 Total Runs (-108)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Yankees have been hitting really well lately, scoring 2.5 runs more than their opponents per game over the last 12. They're also great against left-handed pitchers, matching the league average, which gives them a solid chance to score plenty of runs. The Mets have been pretty good too, winning 7 of their last 10 games, but they struggle a bit more against lefties, hitting lower than the Yankees. With both teams playing strong recently, this game at Yankee Stadium is set up for a lot of runs. Our numbers suggest a combined total of around 8.8, which means betting on over 7.5 runs is looking promising. Just keep in mind, it could be a tight matchup since both teams have been winning games.
New York Yankees vs New York Mets: New York Yankees -1.5 Spread (+119)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The New York Yankees have been hitting well lately, scoring about 2.5 more runs than their opponents in recent games. They've also done pretty well against left-handed pitchers, which gives them an advantage in this matchup. Meanwhile, the New York Mets, while also winning games, have not been as strong against lefties, hitting a bit lower than the league average. Betting on the Yankees to win by more than one and a half runs seems like a smart choice here, especially at home. However, the Mets have also been winning games and can bring some tough competition. This matchup is pretty close, so there's always a chance things might not go as planned.
New York Yankees vs New York Mets: Ben Rice Over 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (-105)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The Yankees are on a roll, scoring an impressive 2.5 runs more than their opponents in the last 12 games. They've really come alive against left-handed pitchers, which is important because Ben Rice has shown he can hit well in this matchup, with a strong batting average this season. However, there's a catch: when playing day games right after a night game, Rice tends to struggle, averaging fewer hits and doubles. For this game against the Mets, I like the bet on Ben Rice to get over 1.5 total bases. The Yankees' strong batting form gives him a good chance, but remember, Rice's recent performance in day games has been shaky. If he can shake off the night game fatigue, he might just come through.
New York Yankees vs New York Mets: Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Batter - Runs Scored (-105)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The Yankees are in great form, scoring an average of 2.5 more runs than their opponents in the last 12 games. Cody Bellinger has been solid at Yankee Stadium, averaging 0.8 runs in his last 10 games there. The Mets struggle against left-handed pitchers, hitting lower than the league average. Bellinger has a real chance of crossing the plate today, especially with the Yankees' strong hitting. However, there's a risk since the Mets have also won 7 of their last 10 games. Still, betting on Bellinger to score over 0.5 runs feels like a good pick with how he's been performing.
New York Yankees vs New York Mets: Ben Rice Over 0.5 Batter - Singles (+120)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Ben Rice faces a tough matchup against the Yankees today. The Yankees have been hitting well lately, scoring 2.5 runs more than their opponents in their last 12 games. Rice's numbers in day games after playing the night before aren't great, and he tends to struggle a bit in those situations. However, he has a solid chance to get at least one single. His batting average shows he's capable, and the Yankees will likely give him some good pitches to hit. With the Yankees playing strong at home, this is still a risk, but Rice has been known to surprise. Betting on him to get over 0.5 singles seems like a smart move today.
That is everything our model likes in this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.
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