On September 12, 2026 our model has run New York Mets at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is New York Yankees To Win (-185), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

New York Yankees vs New York Mets: New York Yankees To Win (-185)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The New York Yankees have been scoring well lately, putting up 2.5 runs more than their opponents in the last 12 games. They've also shown strong hitting against left-handed pitchers this season, matching the league average. Meanwhile, the New York Mets have struggled a bit with lefties, hitting lower than the league average. Betting on the Yankees to win looks like a solid choice given their recent success and home advantage at Yankee Stadium. However, the Mets are on a roll too, having won 7 of their last 10 games, so they could make it tough. Still, the Yankees seem to have the upper hand here.

New York Yankees vs New York Mets: Over 7.5 Total Runs (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Yankees have been hitting well lately, scoring an average of 2.5 runs more than their opponents in the last 12 games. They also have a strong record against left-handed pitchers, matching the league average. Meanwhile, the Mets have been solid too, but they haven't hit as well against lefties as the Yankees. With both teams scoring a lot recently, betting on over 7.5 total runs seems smart. It's a close matchup, and the Yankees' home advantage could help push the score higher. The biggest risk is that both teams have been playing well, so it might be tighter than expected.

New York Yankees vs New York Mets: New York Yankees -1.5 Spread (+119)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The New York Yankees have been scoring about 2.5 runs more than their opponents in the last 12 games, which is impressive. They also have a solid record against left-handed pitchers, hitting at a level similar to the league average. Meanwhile, the New York Mets struggle a bit more against lefties and have only been winning by about 1 run in their recent games. Betting on the Yankees to win by at least 1.5 runs seems like a good idea, especially with them playing at home. The odds are in their favor, and they've won 7 of their last 10 games. The biggest risk is that both teams are performing well lately, making this matchup pretty close.

New York Yankees vs New York Mets: A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Batter - Hits (-110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

For A.J. Ewing to get a hit tonight, he needs to face the Yankees' strong pitching and tough defense. The Yankees have been really solid lately, scoring over three runs more than their opponents on average in recent games. Ewing has been getting hits lately but faces a tough challenge against a team that's been strong against left-handed hitters like him. While he's been on a roll, averaging 2.3 hits a game in his last few outings, the Yankees' pitchers could slow him down. Plus, the Mets have struggled against left-handed starters this season, which might make it harder for Ewing to find those gaps. The wind blowing out could help hitters, but I still see him having a tough time tonight.

New York Yankees vs New York Mets: Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Batter - Singles (+111)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

The Yankees and Mets are both on a hot streak, but the Yankees have been scoring more runs lately and have a strong performance against left-handed pitchers. Cody Bellinger has been solid at Yankee Stadium, averaging almost one run a game. He's playing against a Mets pitcher who has struggled a bit against hitters like him, which gives Bellinger a good chance to get on base. Betting on Bellinger to hit at least one single seems smart here, especially since he's been able to make solid contact without many strikeouts. The biggest risk is how closely matched the two teams are right now, as both have won seven out of their last ten games. Still, Bellinger has a real shot to deliver on this bet.

New York Yankees vs New York Mets: Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Batter - Hits (+109)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Marcus Semien has been getting hits at about 1.4 times his usual rate lately, which is impressive. However, he faces a tough matchup against a strong Yankees pitching staff and the wind blowing out could make it easier for hitters overall. The Yankees have been playing well, scoring about 3.2 more runs than their opponents in recent games, while the Mets have had a harder time against left-handed pitchers like the one Semien will face tonight. The risk here is that both teams are on a winning streak, each taking 7 of their last 10 games. While Semien has been hot, the Yankees' pitching and the pressure of the game could cool him off. Taking the bet for under 0.5 hits seems reasonable given the matchup.

That is everything our model likes in this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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