On September 12, 2026 our model has run New York Mets at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Singles (-159), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Singles (-159)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

New York Yankees play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Singles (-159). That is a Singles bet. It was priced at -159 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Aaron Judge (NYY) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-105)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

New York Yankees play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Aaron Judge (NYY) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-105). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.52 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Marcus Semien (TOR) Under 0.5 Singles (-159)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

New York Yankees play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Marcus Semien (TOR) Under 0.5 Singles (-159). That is a Singles bet. It was priced at -159 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

New York Yankees vs New York Mets: Over 4.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Yankees play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Yankees vs New York Mets: Over 4.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-110). That is a alternate totals 1st 5 innings bet. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

New York Yankees vs New York Mets: New York Mets +1 (+105)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Yankees play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Yankees vs New York Mets: New York Mets +1 (+105). That is a alternate spreads bet. It was priced at +105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

New York Yankees vs New York Mets: Over 5.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (+150)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Yankees play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Yankees vs New York Mets: Over 5.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (+150). That is a alternate totals 1st 5 innings bet. It was priced at +150 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $25 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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