New York Yankees vs New York Mets Prediction and Picks, September 11, 2026

The New York Mets have been on a hot streak, winning 7 of their last 10 games. They're facing the New York Yankees, and while the Yankees are strong against left-handed pitchers, the Mets have also held their own with a decent hitting average against them this year. With the Yankees winning 6 of their last 10, this matchup is likely to be very close. Betting on the Mets to win at these odds feels promising, especially since they've been scoring well recently. However, the biggest risk is that their hitting against lefties isn't quite as strong as the Yankees' performance. Overall, the Mets have a solid chance to pull off the upset.

New York Yankees vs New York Mets: New York Mets +1 Spread (-133)

The New York Mets have been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games. They have also been doing well against left-handed pitchers, even if their hitting stats are a bit below the league average. The Yankees have been solid too, winning 6 of their last 10 and scoring 2 runs more than their opponents over the last 12 games. Betting on the Mets to keep it within a run seems like a smart choice. They've matched up well against lefties, and the Yankees' home advantage isn't huge here. The biggest risk is that both teams have been performing similarly, making it tough to call. Still, taking the Mets with a little cushion feels like a good move in this matchup.

New York Yankees vs New York Mets: Under 5 Total Runs (+354)

Yankee Stadium is set for an exciting showdown between the New York Yankees and New York Mets. The Yankees have been strong lately, scoring 2 runs more than their opponents on average over the past 12 games. They've also done well against left-handed pitchers, hitting at a decent level. Meanwhile, the Mets have matched their recent form, winning 7 of their last 10 games, but they struggle a bit against lefties with a lower hitting average. It's a close matchup, but the Yankees' recent scoring ability makes it tough to see a high total in this one. The risk comes from both teams being capable of putting up runs, but the Yankees' home field advantage might help keep the score down. It's a tricky bet, but taking the under on total runs here could be worth a shot.

New York Yankees vs New York Mets: Aaron Judge Over 0.5 Batter - Runs Scored (-109)

Aaron Judge has been a key player for the Yankees, and he's stepping up at home against the Mets. The Yankees have scored two runs more than their opponents in the last 12 games, showing their strong hitting form. Judge has a good chance to get on the board since the Mets struggle against left-handed pitchers, which means he could find opportunities to score. Still, with the Yankees' lineup firing and Judge at Yankee Stadium, betting on him to score at least one run feels like a solid choice.

New York Yankees vs New York Mets: Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Batter - Hits (+108)

At Yankee Stadium, the New York Yankees have been performing pretty well lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games. They've been scoring about 2 runs more than their opponents in recent matchups. Meanwhile, the New York Mets, who have won 7 of their last 10, have struggled against left-handed pitchers this season, hitting lower than the league average. Marcus Semien has been getting hits at double his usual rate, but that can be risky when he faces tough lefties. With the Yankees' strong pitching and Semien averaging just 1 hit per game lately, betting on him to get less than half a hit seems like a smart choice. It's definitely not a guaranteed win, but this pick has a solid chance based on how both teams are performing.

New York Yankees vs New York Mets: Nick Morabito Under 0.5 Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs (+112)

At Yankee Stadium, the Yankees have been on a roll lately, scoring an average of 2 runs more than their opponents in their last 12 games. They've also won 6 out of their last 10, showing strong form against left-handed pitchers. Nick Morabito hasn't been able to find his rhythm, going hitless in his last three games. With the opposing pitcher allowing runs at a lower rate than average, it could be tough for him to break through. The Mets have also been strong, winning 7 of their last 10 games, but their hitting against left-handers has been weaker than the Yankees'. Given Morabito's recent struggles and the tough matchup, betting on him to get less than half a hit, run, or RBI feels like a smart choice. Just remember, it's always a risk, and things can change quickly in baseball.

That is the whole read on this one. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.