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Model picks & player props
MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Thu 27 Aug 2026, 7:16 PM ET
Houston Astros
VS
New York Yankees

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Houston Astros vs New York Yankees and backs Houston Astros hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $236.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Houston Astros
Houston Astros Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
You bet$10 If it wins$23.60Best price+136
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win39.6%
The price says40.2%

The model graded 70 markets for Houston Astros vs New York Yankees (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $236 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 27 Aug 2026, 7:16 PM ET at Yankee Stadium.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Houston Astros Long-shot40% chance +136
Total Runs Members only Long-shot6% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot6% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot11% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean43% chance Members
Spread Members only Long-shot26% chance Members
Batter - Walks × 9 props Highup to 98% Members
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Highup to 86% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 7 props Highup to 64% Members
Batter - Hits × 2 props Highup to 66% Members
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 1 prop Leanup to 56% Members
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 2 props Highup to 63% Members
Batter - Stolen Bases × 3 props Highup to 89% Members
Batter - Singles × 5 props Highup to 77% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Houston Astros and New York Yankees last met on Thu 27 Aug 2026: Houston Astros won 5-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
Houston Astros
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 75,006+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Houston AstrosMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Houston Astros

  • Carlos Correa SSOut
  • Brandon Walter SPOut
  • Joey Loperfido LFOut

New York Yankees

  • Max Fried SPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
Availability updated Nov 10, 9:43PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Houston Astros vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 6 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability6 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Austin Wells Batter - Walks
Gerrit Cole NYY Pitcher - Walks
Austin Wells Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Cody Bellinger CHC Batter - Walks
Yainer Diaz HOU Batter - Walks

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Houston Astros L52-3

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Houston Astros L52-3

New York Yankees spread form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Houston AstrosNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
4.7runs we expect
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Houston Astros L52-3

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Houston Astros @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Houston Astros at New York Yankees — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Houston Astros vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 2 of their last 5 games; Houston Astros have won 2 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4TBHome
L2–5TBAway
L0–1TBAway
W9–2BOSHome
W9–0BOSHome
Houston Astros — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–7CHWHome
L3–6CHWHome
W13–2ATHAway
W9–0ATHAway
L5–6ATHAway

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Yankees are scoring 1.2 runs per game (2-3) while Houston Astros are at 2.2 (3-2); New York Yankees pitchers are allowing 0.4 earned runs per game versus 2.4 for Houston Astros.

1.2
New York Yankees runs/G
2.2
Houston Astros runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York YankeesHouston Astros
Runs / game1.22.2
Hits / game1.63.2
Home runs / game0.00.4
Walks drawn / game1.41.4
Batter K / game2.03.0
Earned runs allowed / game0.42.4
Pitching K / game1.03.2
Walks allowed / game0.81.2
L5 record2-33-2

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: New York Yankees won 3, Houston Astros won 3.

DateNew York YankeesHouston AstrosWinner
Aug 2715Houston Astros
Aug 2693New York Yankees
Aug 2579Houston Astros
Apr 2647Houston Astros
Apr 25124New York Yankees
Apr 2583New York Yankees

Who’s out or in doubt

6 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Max Fried SPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Houston Astros
PlayerStatus
Carlos Correa SSOUT
Brandon Walter SPOUT
Joey Loperfido LFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Houston Astros @ New York Yankees — model preview

Our Houston Astros at New York Yankees prediction for August 28, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 28, 2026 our model has run Houston Astros at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Jose Altuve (HOU) Under 0.5 RBIs (-323), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Houston Astros vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Astros vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Astros. The most recent game between them was Thursday 27 August 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 27 Aug 2026Houston Astros beat New York Yankees 5-1 on the road
  • 26 Aug 2026New York Yankees beat Houston Astros 9-3 at home
  • 25 Aug 2026Houston Astros beat New York Yankees 9-7 on the road

Houston Astros: last 5 results

  1. 30 Sep 2026Lostvs Chicago White Sox 3-7
  2. 29 Sep 2026Lostvs Chicago White Sox 3-6
  3. 27 Sep 2026Wonat Athletics 9-0
  4. 26 Sep 2026Wonat Athletics 13-2
  5. 25 Sep 2026Lostat Athletics 5-6

New York Yankees: last 5 results

  1. 7 Oct 2026Lostvs Tampa Bay Rays 3-4
  2. 5 Oct 2026Lostat Tampa Bay Rays 2-5
  3. 3 Oct 2026Lostat Tampa Bay Rays 0-1
  4. 30 Sep 2026Wonvs Boston Red Sox 9-2
  5. 29 Sep 2026Wonvs Boston Red Sox 9-0

Quick answers

Who won the last New York Yankees vs Houston Astros game? Houston Astros won their last meeting 5-1 on 27 August 2026.

How have Houston Astros and New York Yankees done lately? Houston Astros won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold. New York Yankees won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees: the season so far

From every final score this season

Houston Astros are 81-83 this season and New York Yankees are 95-71. New York Yankees are 48-35 at home. Houston Astros are 42-39 on the road. New York Yankees score 4.6 runs a game and let in 3.7. Houston Astros score 4.5 and let in 4.8. New York Yankees games have averaged 8.3 runs in total; Houston Astros games have averaged 9.3. New York Yankees have lost their last 3.

SeasonHouston AstrosNew York Yankees
Won-lost81-8395-71
At home39-4448-35
On the road42-3947-36
Last 104-65-5
Runs scored a game4.54.6
Runs let in a game4.83.7
Runs scored at home4.24.8
Runs scored away4.84.3
Against winning sides29-2834-34
Current runLost 2Lost 3
Biggest win13-2 at Athletics16-1 vs Boston Red Sox
Heaviest loss18-3 vs Los Angeles Angels12-2 vs New York Mets

Teams they have both played

  • Against Tampa Bay Rays: New York Yankees lost 3-4 at home; Houston Astros lost 4-14 on the road.
  • Against Boston Red Sox: New York Yankees won 9-2 at home; Houston Astros won 3-1 on the road.
  • Against Baltimore Orioles: New York Yankees won 6-3 at home; Houston Astros lost 2-5 at home.

Quick answers

How are New York Yankees doing this season? New York Yankees are 95-71 this season: 48-35 at home and 47-36 on the road.

How many runs do Houston Astros score a game? Houston Astros score 4.5 runs a game this season and let in 4.8, across 164 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees head-to-head record

Final scores · 28 meetings on record
New York Yankees 18–10 across the last 28 meetings · these games average 10.1 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Thu 27 Aug 2026, Houston Astros at New York Yankees: the Astros won 5-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
27 Aug 2026Houston Astros @ New York Yankees1–5Houston Astros
26 Aug 2026Houston Astros @ New York Yankees9–3New York Yankees
25 Aug 2026Houston Astros @ New York Yankees7–9Houston Astros
26 Apr 2026New York Yankees @ Houston Astros7–4Houston Astros
25 Apr 2026New York Yankees @ Houston Astros4–12New York Yankees
24 Apr 2026New York Yankees @ Houston Astros4–12New York Yankees
4 Sep 2025New York Yankees @ Houston Astros4–8New York Yankees
3 Sep 2025New York Yankees @ Houston Astros8–7Houston Astros
2 Sep 2025New York Yankees @ Houston Astros1–7New York Yankees
10 Aug 2025Houston Astros @ New York Yankees1–7Houston Astros

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 28 meetings on file.

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