On September 26, 2026 our model has run Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Over 9.5 Total Runs (+215), which we rate long shot confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.
Every bet we like in this game
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The Yankees have been a bit shaky lately, winning just 4 of their last 10 games, but they can still pack a punch. Meanwhile, the Orioles are on fire, winning 7 of their last 10 games and 5 straight on the road. With both teams swinging the bat well, betting on over 9.5 total runs seems like a smart move. The numbers suggest the total might lean closer to 8.5, but the hitting power in this matchup could easily push it higher. The biggest risk is how well the Yankees have been playing lately, but if they get hot, this bet could pay off nicely.
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles: Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Batter - Hits (-111)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Colton Cowser has been struggling lately, getting hits at only about 0.4 of his usual rate. However, he's up against the New York Yankees, who have allowed home runs to leave Yankee Stadium more easily than in other parks. This could give Cowser a good chance to get a hit, especially since the Yankees have won 4 of their last 10 games and are not as strong as they can be. The Baltimore Orioles, on the other hand, have been on fire, winning 7 of their last 10 games and 5 straight on the road. While the matchup is close, Cowser's recent performance and the Yankees' pitching could create some openings. The biggest risk here is that Cowser has averaged only 0.3 hits per game over his last 3 games. Still, betting on him to get over 0.5 hits seems like a solid play.
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles: Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs (-115)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
The odds for Pete Alonso to get over 1.5 hits, runs, or RBIs at -115 look appealing. Alonso has been hitting the ball hard and at the right angle more often than most players. With the way home runs fly out of Yankee Stadium, he has a solid chance to make an impact in this game. The Yankees have been a bit shaky lately, winning only 4 of their last 10 games. However, the Orioles have been on fire, winning 7 of their last 10 and 5 straight on the road. The opposing pitcher has been giving up runs at a higher rate than average, which adds to the risk that Alonso might not get the chances he needs. Still, with his form, this pick feels like a good shot.
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles: Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs (+105)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Gunnar Henderson has been on a roll lately, helping the Baltimore Orioles win five straight games on the road. He's facing a New York Yankees pitcher who has been giving up runs at a higher rate than normal, which could lead to more chances for Gunnar to make an impact. With Yankee Stadium being a place where home runs happen more often, the conditions are just right for him to rack up hits, runs, and RBIs. Betting on Gunnar to get over 1.5 total hits, runs, and RBIs seems promising, especially with how well he's playing. The matchup is pretty even, but the pitcher's struggles could give Gunnar the opportunities he needs. Just remember, there's always a chance it might not go as planned.
That is the full board for this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.
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