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Model picks & player props
San Antonio Spurs
VS
Philadelphia 76ers

San Antonio Spurs vs Philadelphia 76ers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:20AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Indoor
Wed 4 Mar 2026, 1:00AM
5
Game Picks
4
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Under 122.5 (Team Total Points)
For San Antonio Spurs vs Philadelphia 76ers (NBA), model win probability 98.4%, fair odds 1.02, book price -556, model edge +14.7%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Wed 4 Mar 2026, 1:00AM at Wells Fargo Center.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total Points
Under
122.5
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

San Antonio Spurs

  • Jayden Quaintance FOut
  • Tarris Reed Jr. CDay-to-day
  • David Jones Garcia FDay-to-day

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Johni Broome FDay-to-day
  • Labaron Philon Jr. GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 12:33PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For San Antonio Spurs vs Philadelphia 76ers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Devin Vassell San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Victor Wembanyama San Antonio Spurs Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Stephon Castle San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Victor Wembanyama San Antonio Spurs Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsSan Antonio Spurs @ Philadelphia 76ersNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers and San Antonio Spurs combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadPhiladelphia 76ers spreadNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers (season record) meet San Antonio Spurs; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylinePhiladelphia 76ers to winNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers (season record) host or visit San Antonio Spurs; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Philadelphia 76ers totalNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing San Antonio Spurs; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)San Antonio Spurs totalNo line posted

San Antonio Spurs averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Philadelphia 76ers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

San Antonio Spurs @ Philadelphia 76ers — model preview

<p>Latest NBA betting preview: Philadelphia 76ers vs San Antonio Spurs. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Stephon Castle. Keywords: NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Philadelphia 76ers vs San Antonio Spurs stats and odds.</p>

Stephon Castle (San Antonio Spurs) Under 38.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-1250)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Listen up, folks! I've got a tip for the upcoming 76ers/Spurs showdown. Our guy, Stephon Castle, usually an ace on the court, may not hit his stride this time. Sure, he's been averaging a solid 20.4 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 6.8 assists on the road. But when facing Philly's tough defense, his numbers slide - down to 17 points on average, with rebounds falling to 3 and a worrying 1 assist. That's a considerable dip, folks! The stats suggest he might only clock about 26.17 in points, rebounds, and assists combined in this encounter. Betting on the 'Under 38.5' here seems more of a sure thing than a Hail Mary. Castle's got his work cut out for him in Philly; let's just see if he can defy the numbers.

Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 38.5 Points + Assists (-1429)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the San Antonio Spurs roll into Philadelphia on March 4th, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama, a talent not to be underestimated. However, we're targeting the under 38.5 for points and assists for a few reasons. His average points and assists over the last five games, both on the road and overall, sit comfortably at 24.6, well below our target. Even when facing the 76ers, a team he typically performs well against, his combined average only reaches 33.5 - still short of the mark. Despite his consistent performance, as seen with his perfect hit rate over his last 17 games and 11 away games, Wembanyama would need to significantly over-perform his averages to hit this prop. The game on March 4th should be exciting, but expect Wembanyama to land under 38.5 in points and assists.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
2
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
04 Mar 26 Team Total Points Under 122.5 ✗ MISS
04 Mar 26 Team Total Points Under 130.5 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for San Antonio Spurs vs Philadelphia 76ers in the NBA. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Wednesday 4 March 2026 at Wells Fargo Center. The model has generated 5 game picks and 4 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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