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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyrese Maxey is Under 29.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 51%, for a model edge of +20.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NBA

Tyrese Maxey

Philadelphia 76ers

+20.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 29.5 -103 (1.97)
+20.8% Edge
Orlando Magic @ Philadelphia 76ers
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA · Indoor
Wed 15 Apr, 11:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
71.6%
Implied Probability
50.8%
Model Edge
+20.8%
Predicted Value
26.2 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points71.6%—50.8%1.40+20.8%

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AI Analysis

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Tyrese Maxey (Philadelphia 76ers) Under 29.5 Points (-103)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Philadelphia 76ers gear up to face the Orlando Magic, all eyes will be on Tyrese Maxey, but the smart play might actually be looking at the Under 29.5 points for him. While Maxey has dazzled with an average of 27.4 points against the Magic in their last five matchups, his recent performances suggest a more tempered output. At home, he's averaging just 22.2 points over his last five games.Moreover, he's been on fire lately, hitting the Over in eight of his last nine outings, but this matchup might put the brakes on that streak. The 76ers have a solid defense, and with Maxey's expected stat value hovering around 26.19, it's clear he may struggle to reach that lofty number. With his home hit rate at 7/7 but a drop in scoring lately, betting the Under feels like a wise move in this intriguing matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
2.1avg · last 10
L51.4Szn3.1Home2.9Away3.3Best9
1+92%
2+77%
3+62%
4+38%
5+29%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 2.1 · hi 5 · lo 0
3451151001

Tyrese Maxey is averaging 2.1 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.1, best 9). He clears 3+ in 62% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
5.6avg · last 10
L55.8Szn6.1Home6.3Away5.8Best14
2+98%
4+77%
6+58%
8+23%
10+15%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 5.6 · hi 11 · lo 2
57537525116

Tyrese Maxey is averaging 5.6 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.1, best 14). He clears 6+ in 58% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
20.2avg · last 10
L516.8Szn26.3Home25.4Away27.4Best52
16+87%
21+77%
26+62%
31+37%
36+13%
Game log vs O 25.5avg 20.2 · hi 39 · lo 5
31273951631133055

Tyrese Maxey is averaging 20.2 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 26.3, best 52). He clears 26+ in 62% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
25.8avg · last 10
L522.6Szn32.4Home31.7Away33.3Best59
22+83%
27+73%
32+58%
37+38%
42+19%
Game log vs O 31.5avg 25.8 · hi 44 · lo 8
3634448233615351611

Tyrese Maxey is averaging 25.8 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 32.4, best 59). He clears 32+ in 58% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
23.1avg · last 10
L518.6Szn29.7Home28.8Away30.7Best57
20+85%
25+73%
30+60%
35+33%
40+15%
Game log vs O 29.5avg 23.1 · hi 43 · lo 5
343043102133133485

Tyrese Maxey is averaging 23.1 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 29.7, best 57). He clears 30+ in 60% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
28.7avg · last 10
L524.4Szn35.8Home35.1Away36.5Best64
26+83%
31+71%
36+58%
41+35%
46+23%
Game log vs O 35.5avg 28.7 · hi 48 · lo 11
39374813283815391911

Tyrese Maxey is averaging 28.7 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 35.8, best 64). He clears 36+ in 58% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
8.5avg · last 10
L57.6Szn9.4Home9.8Away9.1Best25
3+96%
6+81%
9+63%
12+25%
15+10%
Game log vs O 8.5avg 8.5 · hi 14 · lo 2
8109812729146

Tyrese Maxey is averaging 8.5 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 9.4, best 25). He clears 9+ in 63% of 2024-25 games.

Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.2avg · last 10
L50.8Szn1.8Home1.8Away1.8Best5
1+87%
2+52%
3+21%
4+12%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.2 · hi 4 · lo 0
4210100121

Tyrese Maxey is averaging 1.2 steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.8, best 5). He clears 2+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Philadelphia 76ers Points 29.5 Under -103 ✗ MISS
10 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs + Asts 39.5 Under -108 ✗ MISS
10 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Houston Rockets Assists 7.5 Under -152 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
02 Mar 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Steals — — — Pending
02 Mar 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Pts + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tyrese Maxey (Philadelphia 76ers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyrese Maxey is Under 29.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.8% on this pick. Their next game is Orlando Magic vs Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday 15 April at Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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