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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyrese Maxey is Under 29.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 72%, implied 51%, edge +20.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 6:19PM UTC
NBA

Tyrese Maxey

Philadelphia 76ers

+20.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 29.5 -103 (1.97) · $100→$197
+20.8% Edge
Orlando Magic @ Philadelphia 76ers
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA · Indoor
Wed 15 Apr, 11:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
26.2 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.6% · the book's price implies 50.8% · gap +20.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points71.6%—50.8%1.40+20.8%

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AI Analysis

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Tyrese Maxey (Philadelphia 76ers) Under 29.5 Points (-103)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Philadelphia 76ers gear up to face the Orlando Magic, all eyes will be on Tyrese Maxey, but the smart play might actually be looking at the Under 29.5 points for him. While Maxey has dazzled with an average of 27.4 points against the Magic in their last five matchups, his recent performances suggest a more tempered output. At home, he's averaging just 22.2 points over his last five games.Moreover, he's been on fire lately, hitting the Over in eight of his last nine outings, but this matchup might put the brakes on that streak. The 76ers have a solid defense, and with Maxey's expected stat value hovering around 26.19, it's clear he may struggle to reach that lofty number. With his home hit rate at 7/7 but a drop in scoring lately, betting the Under feels like a wise move in this intriguing matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Tyrese Maxey — 2024-25 season averages

Over 52 games in the 2024-25 season, Tyrese Maxey averaged 26.3 points, 3.3 rebounds and 6.1 assists in 37.8 minutes per game, shooting 43.7% from the field and 33.7% from three-point range.

26.3
PPG
3.3
RPG
6.1
APG
1.8
SPG
0.4
BPG
37.8
MPG
43.7%
FG%
33.7%
3P%

Tyrese Maxey — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Tyrese Maxey has played 35.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

35.8
MPG (L5)
16.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Tyrese Maxey — points hit rate

Tyrese Maxey has scored over 11.5 points in 47% of 136 career games.

o11.547%
o12.546%
o15.531%
o20.515%

Tyrese Maxey — home vs away scoring

At home Tyrese Maxey averages 25.4 points per game; on the road, 27.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

25.4
PPG at home
27.4
PPG on the road

Tyrese Maxey — scoring by opponent

Tyrese Maxey scores most against the MIL, averaging 24.2 points per game in that matchup.

24.2
MIL
23.4
NY
23.1
IND
21.5
TOR
21.5
MIA
19.9
DET

Tyrese Maxey — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Tyrese Maxey has averaged 20.2 points, 2.9 rebounds and 5.6 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
3 Marvs POR23506
1 Marvs GS405311
26 Feb@ NY443045
24 Febvs CHI291302
22 Febvs BKN433125
20 Febvs BOS341657
11 Febvs TOR34553
9 Feb@ MIL403945
7 Feb@ DET392737
5 Febvs MIA383135
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Feb 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Philadelphia 76ers Points 28.5 Under -132 ✓ HIT
02 Mar 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Steals — — — Pending
02 Mar 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Pts + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tyrese Maxey (Philadelphia 76ers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyrese Maxey is Under 29.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.8% on this pick. Their next game is Orlando Magic vs Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday 15 April at Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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