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The latest Bet Better model pick for Dean Wade is Under 10.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 51%, for a model edge of +24.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
NBA

Dean Wade

Cleveland Cavaliers

+24.4% Edge
🔥 4 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 10.5 -104 (1.96)
+24.4% Edge
Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH · Indoor
Wed 8 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
75.4%
Implied Probability
51.0%
Model Edge
+24.4%
Predicted Value
6.5 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points75.4%—51.0%1.33+24.4%

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AI Analysis

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Dean Wade (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 10.5 Points (-104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Cavaliers gear up to face the Hawks, all eyes should be on Dean Wade and the intriguing player prop of him scoring under 10.5 points. While Wade has had some strong performances lately, averaging 6 points over his last five games- and a slightly better 9 points at home-it's important to consider the context. In fact, against Atlanta, he's posted just 8 points on average at home. With a hit rate of only 11 out of his last 20 home games going over this mark, and an expected stat value of 6.51, the chances of him hitting double digits seem slim. Plus, with the Cavaliers' offensive depth, Wade may find himself as more of a facilitator than a scorer. All signs point to a low-scoring night for him; betting the under feels like a savvy move here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.6avg · last 10
L52.0Szn4.9Home4.7Away5.2Best23
5+51%
10+13%
15+3%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 1.6 · hi 5 · lo 0
1000503034

Dean Wade is averaging 1.6 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.9, best 23). He clears 5+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
5.6avg · last 10
L57.2Szn9.1Home8.6Away9.6Best31
4+88%
9+53%
14+12%
19+7%
Game log vs O 8.5avg 5.6 · hi 13 · lo 0
3104123134610

Dean Wade is averaging 5.6 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 9.1, best 31). He clears 9+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points 10.5 Under -104 ✓ HIT
26 Feb 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks Pts + Rebs 12.5 Under -130 ✓ HIT
26 Feb 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks Points 7.5 Under -132 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Dean Wade (Cleveland Cavaliers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Dean Wade is currently on a 4-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Dean Wade is Under 10.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.4% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday 8 April at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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