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Model picks & player props
Washington Wizards
VS
Chicago Bulls

Washington Wizards vs Chicago Bulls Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:17AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
3
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Under 126.5 (Team Total Points)
For Washington Wizards vs Chicago Bulls (NBA), model win probability 97.0%, fair odds 1.03, book price -588, model edge +11.6%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total Points
Under
126.5
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago BullsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Washington Wizards

  • Jamir Watkins GDay-to-day
  • Will Riley GDay-to-day
  • Tre Johnson GDay-to-day
  • AJ Dybantsa FDay-to-day
  • Alex Sarr CDay-to-day
  • Anthony Davis FDay-to-day
  • Trae Young GDay-to-day
  • Cam Whitmore FDay-to-day
  • Tristan Vukcevic FDay-to-day

Chicago Bulls

  • Noa Essengue FDay-to-day
  • Caleb Wilson FDay-to-day
  • Dailyn Swain GDay-to-day
  • Zach Collins FDay-to-day
  • Jalen Smith FDay-to-day
  • Josh Giddey GDay-to-day
  • Nic Claxton CDay-to-day
  • Isaac Okoro FDay-to-day
  • Rob Dillingham GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 1:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Washington Wizards vs Chicago Bulls: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 18 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability18 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsWashington Wizards @ Chicago BullsNo line posted

Chicago Bulls and Washington Wizards combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadChicago Bulls spreadNo line posted

Chicago Bulls (season record) meet Washington Wizards; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineChicago Bulls to winNo line posted

Chicago Bulls (season record) host or visit Washington Wizards; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Chicago Bulls totalNo line posted

Chicago Bulls averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Washington Wizards; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Washington Wizards totalNo line posted

Washington Wizards averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Chicago Bulls; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Washington Wizards @ Chicago Bulls — model preview

<p>Deep dive into Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards : Under 268.5 Total Points (-2000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The under 268.5 bet for the Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards game is a good choice based on both teams' recent scoring data. The Bulls have averaged 108.6 points in their last five games, and the Wizards averaged 115.2 points. Even if both teams meet these averages, the combined score would be well under 268.5. The model prediction also supports this bet, projecting a total score of 228.05. Furthermore, when looking at the teams' defensive statistics, both allow fewer points than the betting line requires. The Bulls have been allowing an average of 109.6 points at home, while the Wizards have given up 121 points on the road. Given these figures, the likelihood of the total points surpassing 268.5 seems low, making the under a statistically sound bet.

Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards : Washington Wizards Under 126.5 Team Total Points (-588)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

This bet leverages the recent performance trends of the Washington Wizards. Their overall record for the last five games is 1-4, indicating a poor run of form. Crucially, their away record is even worse, with no wins in the last five games. This suggests they struggle to perform on the road. Additionally, the Wizards' average score over the last five games, both overall and away, is well below the target of 126.5 points, at 115.2 and 107 points respectively. This aligns with our model prediction of 105.91 points for this game. The Wizards also tend to allow high scores from opponents, with an average of 122.8 overall and 121 away, which could further limit their own scoring opportunities. Therefore, betting on the Wizards to score under 126.5 points is statistically justified.

Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards : Chicago Bulls win (-714)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on the Chicago Bulls to win against the Washington Wizards is statistically justified. The Bulls have a stronger recent home record (3-2) compared to the Wizards' weak recent away record (1-4). The Wizards have not won any of their last five games on the road, further indicating an advantage for the home team. Interestingly, while the Wizards have a higher overall team score in the last five games, their scoring drops significantly when playing away, averaging 107 points - almost identical to the Bulls' home game average. This implies that the Bulls' defensive strategies might be particularly effective against the Wizards. Lastly, the two teams have broken even in their last four encounters, but given the Bulls' home advantage and the Wizards' poor away performance, the odds favor a Chicago victory.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Washington Wizards vs Chicago Bulls in the NBA. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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