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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dejounte Murray is Over 20.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 68 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 68%, implied 53%, edge +15.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 7:33PM UTC
NBA

Dejounte Murray

New Orleans Pelicans

+15.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 20.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
+15.0% Edge
New Orleans Pelicans @ Detroit Pistons
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI · Indoor
Thu 26 Mar, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
68 in 100
Predicted
23.7 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 67.9% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap +15.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs67.9%52.9%1.47+15.0%

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AI Analysis

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Dejounte Murray (New Orleans Pelicans) Over 20.5 Points + Rebounds (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Dejounte Murray is primed for a breakout performance against the Pistons this Thursday. Despite being on the road, he's been a dynamo lately, averaging 19.6 points and 4.8 rebounds in his last five games. But when the lights shine against the Pelicans, he steps it up, posting an impressive 25.6 points per game in their recent matchups. What's more, Murray's away game statistics bolster his case; he's averaging 17.8 points and 6.6 rebounds on the road, and against Detroit, he's been particularly effective, ramping up his rebounding to 6.8. With a hit rate of 10 out of his last 12 away games, it's clear he thrives in hostile environments. Betting the over on his combined points and rebounds at 20.5 seems like a savvy play, especially considering his expected stat value of 23.72. Murray's poised to light

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Pick History & Track Record

Dejounte Murray — 2024-25 season averages

Over 31 games in the 2024-25 season, Dejounte Murray averaged 17.5 points, 6.5 rebounds and 7.4 assists in 32.6 minutes per game, shooting 39.3% from the field and 29.9% from three-point range.

17.5
PPG
6.5
RPG
7.4
APG
2.0
SPG
0.4
BPG
32.6
MPG
39.3%
FG%
29.9%
3P%

Dejounte Murray — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Dejounte Murray has played 30.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

30.6
MPG (L5)
20.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Dejounte Murray — points hit rate

Dejounte Murray has scored over 11.5 points in 47% of 358 career games.

o11.547%
o12.544%
o15.530%
o20.515%

Dejounte Murray — home vs away scoring

At home Dejounte Murray averages 17.9 points per game; on the road, 16.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

17.9
PPG at home
16.9
PPG on the road

Dejounte Murray — scoring by opponent

Dejounte Murray scores most against the POR, averaging 21.8 points per game in that matchup.

21.8
POR
20.7
IND
20.6
SAC
20.1
HOU
19.8
GS
19.3
CLE

Dejounte Murray — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Dejounte Murray has averaged 20.0 points, 7.0 rebounds and 6.6 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
31 Janvs BOS8450
29 Janvs DAL332756
27 Jan@ TOR362178
24 Jan@ MEM312667
20 Janvs UTAH4526911
17 Janvs UTAH25856
15 Janvs DAL333077
14 Jan@ CHI341577
12 Jan@ BOS352698
10 Jan@ PHI3217106
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Asts 21.5 Over -130 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Dejounte Murray (New Orleans Pelicans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dejounte Murray is Over 20.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.0% on this pick. Their next game is New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons on Thursday 26 March at Little Caesars Arena, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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