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The latest Bet Better model pick for Dejounte Murray is Over 20.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 68%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +15.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:04PM UTC
NBA

Dejounte Murray

New Orleans Pelicans

+15.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 20.5 -112 (1.89)
+15.0% Edge
New Orleans Pelicans @ Detroit Pistons
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI · Indoor
Thu 26 Mar, 11:00PM
DAY-TO-DAY
Murray (hand)J is out for Sunday's game against the Timberwolves.
updated Jun 16, 2:37PM UTC · 34d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
67.9%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+15.0%
Predicted Value
23.7 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs67.9%—52.9%1.47+15.0%

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Dejounte Murray (New Orleans Pelicans) Over 20.5 Points + Rebounds (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Dejounte Murray is primed for a breakout performance against the Pistons this Thursday. Despite being on the road, he's been a dynamo lately, averaging 19.6 points and 4.8 rebounds in his last five games. But when the lights shine against the Pelicans, he steps it up, posting an impressive 25.6 points per game in their recent matchups. What's more, Murray's away game statistics bolster his case; he's averaging 17.8 points and 6.6 rebounds on the road, and against Detroit, he's been particularly effective, ramping up his rebounding to 6.8. With a hit rate of 10 out of his last 12 away games, it's clear he thrives in hostile environments. Betting the over on his combined points and rebounds at 20.5 seems like a savvy play, especially considering his expected stat value of 23.72. Murray's poised to light

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
6.6avg · last 10
L56.4Szn7.4Home7.0Away7.8Best15
3+94%
5+87%
7+61%
9+29%
11+16%
Game log vs O 6.5avg 6.6 · hi 11 · lo 0
68776117860

Dejounte Murray is averaging 6.6 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 7.4, best 15). He clears 7+ in 61% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
20.0avg · last 10
L520.8Szn17.5Home17.9Away16.9Best44
7+97%
12+84%
17+55%
22+23%
27+10%
Game log vs O 16.5avg 20 · hi 30 · lo 4
172615308262621274

Dejounte Murray is averaging 20.0 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 17.5, best 44). He clears 17+ in 55% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
26.6avg · last 10
L527.2Szn24.8Home24.9Away24.8Best51
15+94%
20+81%
25+48%
30+26%
35+10%
Game log vs O 24.5avg 26.6 · hi 37 · lo 4
2334223714373329334

Dejounte Murray is averaging 26.6 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 24.8, best 51). He clears 25+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
27.0avg · last 10
L527.2Szn23.9Home24.1Away23.8Best51
14+90%
19+77%
24+48%
29+23%
34+13%
Game log vs O 23.5avg 27 · hi 37 · lo 9
2735223713353228329

Dejounte Murray is averaging 27.0 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 23.9, best 51). He clears 24+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
7.0avg · last 10
L56.4Szn6.5Home6.2Away6.8Best17
2+100%
4+90%
6+61%
8+32%
10+10%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 7 · hi 10 · lo 5
10977596755

Dejounte Murray is averaging 7.0 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.5, best 17). He clears 6+ in 61% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
13.6avg · last 10
L512.8Szn13.8Home13.2Away14.7Best27
8+94%
11+77%
14+58%
17+26%
20+10%
Game log vs O 13.5avg 13.6 · hi 20 · lo 5
1617141411201315115

Dejounte Murray is averaging 13.6 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 13.8, best 27). He clears 14+ in 58% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs 20.5 Over -112 ✗ MISS
24 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs 21.5 Over -114 ✗ MISS
24 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs 19.5 Over -172 ✗ MISS
24 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ New York Knicks Points — — — Pending
04 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Dejounte Murray (New Orleans Pelicans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dejounte Murray is Over 20.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.0% on this pick. Their next game is New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons on Thursday 26 March at Little Caesars Arena, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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