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Model picks & player props
Indiana Pacers
VS
Los Angeles Lakers

Indiana Pacers vs Los Angeles Lakers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:22AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Indoor
Sat 7 Mar 2026, 3:30AM
2
Game Picks
4
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Los Angeles Lakers -8.5 (Point Spread)
For Indiana Pacers vs Los Angeles Lakers (NBA), model win probability 67.9%, fair odds 1.47, book price -118, model edge +13.9%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sat 7 Mar 2026, 3:30AM at Crypto.com Arena.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Los Angeles Lakers
-8.5
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Los Angeles LakersPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Indiana Pacers

  • Tyrese Haliburton GDay-to-day
  • Jarace Walker FDay-to-day
  • Pascal Siakam FDay-to-day
  • Ben Sheppard GDay-to-day
  • Aaron Nesmith GDay-to-day
  • T.J. McConnell GDay-to-day
  • Johnny Furphy GOut

Los Angeles Lakers

  • Ziaire Williams FDay-to-day
  • Luka Doncic GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 13, 9:05PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Indiana Pacers vs Los Angeles Lakers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Andrew Nembhard Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
T.J. McConnell Indiana Pacers Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
T.J. McConnell Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
T.J. McConnell Indiana Pacers Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsIndiana Pacers @ Los Angeles LakersNo line posted

Los Angeles Lakers and Indiana Pacers combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadLos Angeles Lakers spreadNo line posted

Los Angeles Lakers (season record) meet Indiana Pacers; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineLos Angeles Lakers to winNo line posted

Los Angeles Lakers (season record) host or visit Indiana Pacers; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Los Angeles Lakers totalNo line posted

Los Angeles Lakers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Indiana Pacers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Indiana Pacers totalNo line posted

Indiana Pacers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Los Angeles Lakers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Indiana Pacers @ Los Angeles Lakers — model preview

<p>Unlock potential winning bets for Los Angeles Lakers playing Indiana Pacers. Includes analysis on key players like T.J. McConnell. Analysis includes NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Los Angeles Lakers vs Indiana Pacers stats and odds.</p>

T.J. McConnell (Indiana Pacers) Over 11.5 Points + Assists (-128)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Listen up, NBA fans. Let's talk about the man of the hour: T.J. McConnell of the Indiana Pacers. This dynamo is outperforming himself this season, with his recent away games showing an impressive hit rate of 7/7. The guy's averaging 12.2 points and dishing out 4.4 assists on the road. Now, he's up against the Lakers, a team he seems to have figured out. He's been dropping an average of 12.8 points, with an additional 4.8 assists in their recent match-ups. Although his point average does dip slightly when playing in LA, his assists tend to ramp up. When you consider that we're targeting an over of 11.5 points + assists, it looks like McConnell's got it in the bag. So, if you're looking for a smart bet, this might be your golden ticket. Trust the numbers, trust the performance, trust T.J. McConnell.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Indiana Pacers : Los Angeles Lakers -8.5 (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Lakers have been performing exceptionally well on their home turf, securing 4 out of their last 5 matches. In contrast, the Pacers have been struggling on the road, only notching 2 victories in their last 5 away games. Additionally, the Lakers are outscoring the Pacers with an average of 127.2 points over their last five games, compared to the Pacer's 122.2. When we examine defense, the Pacers are allowing a high average of 125.6 points in their recent away games, far more than the Lakers are allowing at home, 112.8. This disparity in both offensive and defensive performances makes the Lakers look promising to cover the 8.5 point spread. It's not just about home advantage; it's about the Lakers overpowering the Pacers offensively and outperforming them defensively.

T.J. McConnell (Indiana Pacers) Over 7.5 Points (-135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

You wouldn't want to miss out on the buzz around T.J. McConnell, the Indiana Pacers' dynamo, as he gears up to face the Los Angeles Lakers this Saturday. The man's been on fire lately, defying the odds and proving the pundits wrong with a string of scintillating scoring performances. In his last five games, he's averaged a cool 12.8 points, easily eclipsing our target of 7.5. And don't think playing away from home will affect his game - he's managed a healthy 12.2 points on average during his last five outings on the road. Against the Lakers, he's been consistent too, averaging 12.8 points. And let's not forget his golden run - hitting the target in seven straight games, four of which were on the road. McConnell's form, coupled with his impressive streak, makes the Over 7.5 points bet a tantalizing prospect.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
1
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
07 Mar 26 Point Spread Los Angeles Lakers -8.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Indiana Pacers vs Los Angeles Lakers in the NBA. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Saturday 7 March 2026 at Crypto.com Arena. The model has generated 2 game picks and 4 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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