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Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Lakers
VS
Golden State Warriors

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 18 markets for Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors and backs Under 121.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $124.

NBA
Chase Center, San Francisco
Indoor
Sun 1 Mar 2026, 1:30AM
9
Game markets graded
9
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 121.5 Team Total -417

The model graded 18 markets for Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $124 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 1 Mar 2026, 1:30AM at Chase Center.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win93.1%
The price says80.6%
Best price-417
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Team Total Under 121.5 High93% chance -417
Total Points Members only High98% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean49% chance Members
Pts + Asts × 1 prop Highup to 76% Members
3-Pointers × 2 props Highup to 88% Members
Points × 1 prop Highup to 80% Members
Rebounds × 2 props Highup to 75% Members
Blocks × 1 prop Highup to 77% Members
Rebs + Asts × 1 prop Highup to 66% Members
Pts + Rebs × 1 prop Leanup to 59% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors last met on Sun 1 Mar 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NBA game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Team Total
Under
121.5
-417
+ 8 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Golden State WarriorsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles LakersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Lakers

  • Arthur Kaluma FDay-to-day
  • Collin Sexton GDay-to-day
  • Austin Reaves GDay-to-day
  • Walker Kessler CDay-to-day

Golden State Warriors

  • Kristaps Porzingis CDay-to-day
  • Jimmy Butler III FOut
  • Moses Moody GOut
Availability updated Oct 6, 8:04PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Marcus Smart Washington Wizards Pts + Asts
Austin Reaves Los Angeles Lakers 3-Pointers
Moses Moody Golden State Warriors Points
Pat Spencer Golden State Warriors 3-Pointers
Pat Spencer Golden State Warriors Rebounds

+ 9 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsLos Angeles Lakers @ Golden State WarriorsNo line posted

Golden State Warriors and Los Angeles Lakers combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadGolden State Warriors spreadNo line posted

Golden State Warriors (season record) meet Los Angeles Lakers; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineGolden State Warriors to winNo line posted

Golden State Warriors (season record) host or visit Los Angeles Lakers; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Golden State Warriors totalNo line posted

Golden State Warriors averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Los Angeles Lakers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Los Angeles Lakers totalNo line posted

Los Angeles Lakers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Golden State Warriors; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors — what the model found

Our model graded 18 betting markets for Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors — 9 on the game itself and 9 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

9
Game markets graded
9
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 18 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 17 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors — recent results

Golden State Warriors have won 1 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Lakers have won 1 of their last 5.

Golden State Warriors — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L101–104LACAway
L96–111PHXAway
W126–121LACAway
L110–115LACAway
L118–124SACAway
Los Angeles Lakers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L110–115OKCHome
L108–131OKCHome
L107–125OKCAway
L90–108OKCAway
W98–78HOUAway

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Golden State Warriors won 0, Los Angeles Lakers won 3.

DateGolden State WarriorsLos Angeles LakersWinner
Apr 10103119Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 1101129Los Angeles Lakers
Feb 899105Los Angeles Lakers

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Golden State Warriors
PlayerStatus
Kristaps Porzingis CDAY-TO-DAY
Jimmy Butler III FOUT
Moses Moody GOUT
Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerStatus
Arthur Kaluma FDAY-TO-DAY
Collin Sexton GDAY-TO-DAY
Austin Reaves GDAY-TO-DAY
Walker Kessler CDAY-TO-DAY

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors — model preview

Deep dive into Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Jake LaRavia. Check out NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers stats and odds.

Jake LaRavia (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Lakers gear up for a crucial clash against the Warriors, all eyes should be on Jake LaRavia, particularly when it comes to his three-point shooting. While he has shown flashes of brilliance, averaging 1.2 threes against this opponent, the away numbers tell a different story. LaRavia's recent form reveals he's only hitting 0.4 threes per game on the road, a significant dip when you consider the pressure of playing at Chase Center.Even in his last nine away games, he's managed to hit the mark consistently, yet his overall average remains underwhelming at just 0.6 in the last five outings. With the Warriors' perimeter defense tightening up, this might be a game where LaRavia struggles to find his rhythm. Betting the Under on 1.5 threes feels like a smart play here, capitalizing on the numbers while banking on a challenging matchup.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Lakers vs Warriors, or as Warriors vs Lakers. The most recent game between them was Sunday 1 March 2026 at Chase Center. The model has generated 9 game picks and 9 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Los Angeles Lakers 3–0 across the last 3 meetings

Last meeting: Fri 10 Apr 2026, Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors: the Lakers won 119-103.

DateGameScoreWinner
10 Apr 2026Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors103–119Los Angeles Lakers
1 Mar 2026Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors101–129Los Angeles Lakers
8 Feb 2026Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Lakers105–99Los Angeles Lakers
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